ENGLISH TEXTS
�Conclusion: MAGNIFIQUE( 4) looks like the one to beat, with SU- PER INFINITY( 6) and TRI- UMPHANT MORE( 3) strong contenders. Keep an eye on SUPER LEGENDS( 2) for a possible podium spot.
�Actual Result: 1 st INVINCIBLE SHIELD( 1) 2 nd TRIUMPHANT MORE( 3) 3 rd MAJESTIC EXPRESS( 10) 4 th SUPER INFINITY( 6) 5 th SUPER LEGENDS( 2)
Going further with machine learning Machine learning is a branch of AI that allows systems to learn from data without explicit programming. Instead of following fixed rules, the algorithm analyzes data, identifies patterns, and improves its predictions over time. To fully leverage this technology, one must have a solid grasp of machine learning and build models based on complete datasets. A practical use case: predicting the probability of a horse finishing in the top three. Unlike simple stats, a machine learning model can factor in numerous variables( trainer, jockey, gate draw success rate, track, course layout, etc.). Take Race 9 at Sha Tin: with 40 variables in the dataset, the model uses historical data to detect patterns and generate confidence-rated predictions. In this example, the model correctly identifies the top 5 finishers— proof of the power of this approach.
Final Thoughts AI and machine learning are powerful allies for analyzing horse racing, spotting trends, and refining betting strategies. But these tools also have limitations. AI cannot predict human error( a bad ride, poor race timing), race incidents( missed starts, blocked runs), or unexpected conditions( track changes, mid-race chaos). By combining AI’ s statistical insights with expert reading of the races and real-time conditions, bettors can greatly optimize their strategies- while remembering that no model offers guaranteed certainty. A seasoned punter’ s intuition and experience still make all the difference.
THE IPBS: A STRIKE FORCE UNDER SCRU- TINY – SERGE OKEY
“ Foreign individuals or legal entities engaged in professional activity and employing up to 200 people,” is how the Cour des Comptes( France’ s national audit office) defines them in an illuminating report on gambling and betting, released in September 2023. Illuminating indeed, as we learn that nine IPBs were recorded as of July 2022, and that the six largest among them placed an average of 500 bets per race, each worth around € 15, compared to 10 bets per race worth an average of € 300 for the six biggest French punters. These stakes have soared exponentially- from € 634 million in 2016 to € 728 million in 2021. What raises eyebrows is that legal entities are prohibited from gambling in France. Yet their profitability is ensured through rebates granted by PMU partners, amounting to 10 to 15 % of their gross gaming revenue. This exception gives them an average payout rate of 91.7 %, climbing to over 100 % for the most sophisticated among them. That’ s a twenty-point advantage over the average return for traditional punters. Unfair competition, money laundering risks, significantly lower payouts, tax exemptions... These“ International Power Bettors” raise many concerns, especially considering that in 2020 they accounted for 12.5 % of total winnings from just 10.07 % of the stakes. That’ s what led the PMU to cut them out of the game on August 1 st, 2024. After capping their betting volume, the PMU decided to exclude them from the Quinté +.
A CONSIDERA- BLE STRIKE FORCE – SERGE OKEY
In the world of horse racing, International Power Bettors( IPBs) wield considerable influence, relying on advanced al-
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