Pay Me Now or Pay Me Later PKSOI Papers | Page 24

The lack of association between peacekeeping and democratization might have little to do with the former and more with the specific barriers in promoting democratic processes and institutions. Peacekeeping cannot rectify problems with flawed constitutions and institutions nor the provision of basic security and economic well-being in the long run. Monica Toft argues for the benefits of a decisive military victory, specifically one in which a rebel group succeeds in wresting power from the government. In this situation, she argues, victorious rebels take the organizational skills and any popularity that allowed them to win the war, and implement effective political reforms that set the country on a path to democracy. In her analysis, countries that end wars with settlements (most peacekeeping operations would fit in this category) have a temporary increase in the level of democracy, but then reverse course and repress dissidents so much so that within a generation, political institutions are actually less democratic than when the war ended. Nevertheless, the other authors cited above are unable to reproduce Toft’s findings about a rebel victory controlling a country’s level of democracy.47 Instead, they find no relationship between rebel victory and the before “level” of democracy,48 or ev [