Pay Me Now or Pay Me Later PKSOI Papers | Page 11

gards the deployment of peacekeepers as enhancing peacemaking efforts.6 This line of thinking draws heavily upon the idea that intense conflict makes the prospects for diplomacy more difficult.7 According to this rationale, as a conflict continues over time and the warring sides experience intense fighting, peacemaking becomes more difficult because the parties grow more psychologically committed to the conflict.8 As this commitment deepens, each seeks to punish the other side and achieve a return on their own sunk costs from the conflict. In turn, even when conflicting parties might consider moving toward a peace settlement as the costs of fighting grow unbearable, severe violence serves to heighten the “the bargainer’s dilemma” in which disputants fear that a willingness to make concessions toward a peace agreement will be interpreted as a signal of weakness and exploited by their adversaries. By establishing and maintaining a cease-fire among the warring sides, peacekeepers supposedly create an environment in which the psychological barriers to settlement begin to diminish and the bargainer’s dilemma can be attenuated. A cooling off period can lessen hostilities and build some trust between the protagonists. In addition, according to this view, intense conflict puts domestic political constraints on leaders who might otherwise be inclined to sign a peace agreement. Consistent with these arguments, former UN Secretary-General Boutros Boutros-Ghali argues that peacekeeping “expands the