Pay Me Now or Pay Me Later PKSOI Papers | Page 10

almost three-fourths of those end with a military victory by one side or the other. Thus, the peacekeeping option is still a minority choice in dealing with civil wars. Comparisons are made across a number of different goals, focusing on four in particular: promoting a negotiated settlement, keeping the peace after the fighting stops, reducing battlefield and civilian casualties, and promoting democratization respectively. All or several of these are often the core goals of the international community and peace operations in general in the face of civil conflict. In addition, we briefly note some other consequences that follow from the choice to send a peacekeeping force as opposed to choosing to wait for a decisive outcome to the fighting. In making our evaluations, we rely on the normative standard reflected in utilitarianism, which focuses on the outcomes or consequences of actions, specifically the amount of harm that accrues from the choices made.5 That is, rather than making an a priori normative judgment, an assessment is made based on whether the option chosen (peace operation or do nothing) achieves the desired goals as weighed against any negative consequences that might accrue. Tradeoffs in Peace Operations Promoting Conflict Resolution In the context of an ongoing civil war, the first choice for the United Nations, regional organizations, and leading states is whether to authorize a peacekeeping operation in advance of some type of formal peace agreement to halt the fighting; ideally this would also facilitate a diplomatic settlement to the conflict. The traditional perspective, reflecting public perceptions and those of sponsoring organizations, re3