Past is Prologue: Abroad in Syria with the Ghosts of Iraq PKSOI Papers | Page 21

Duration of operations
Garner has opined that if he had even as little as another 120 days 18 to implement the plans that he was beginning to put in motion , the outcome in Iraq could have been quite different . There is no evidence to suggest that this amount of additional time would have been enough to produce success . On the contrary , there is overwhelming evidence that even the longer 18-month timeline suggested elsewhere by Secretary of State Kerry would have been at best wildly optimistic , and at worst actually dangerous .
The difference is that General Garner focused his timeline on what it would take to get traction on the processes that could eventually produce a stable peace , rather than suggesting this is the time it would take to produce peace . This is a critical nuance , and it is arguable that the additional time could have both shortened the duration of US involvement and smoothed a quicker transition towards a more resilient goal .
What both Garner ’ s ORHA and Bremer ’ s CPA agreed on in principle , if not in mechanics , was that any occupation should be short . What Bremer appeared to mean by this is that it wouldn ’ t need to be long ; what Garner meant by it is that intervention forces would be initially welcomed , but that it would take very little time for liberator to become occupier in the Iraqi mind . Future planners should take note of the difference between these two interpretations , and that every historical example we have available tells us that “ short reconstruction ” is an oxymoron . As much as the duration of operations can be reduced ,
14