Moneta (Sep-October) Sep-Oct | Page 4

ISSUE NO: 17 Soon after the news came out, both Nifty and Sensex fell down by around 2%. Sensex fell by 465 points and Nifty by 153 points. INR also fell down by 0.6% and weakened against dollar. Only 1 out of every 5 stocks was increasing on BSE. Some losing stocks were Adani Ports, Sun Pharma and ICICI Bank with decreasing around 4-5 percentage. The small-cap and mid-cap indices fell around 4 to 5%. But this was all short lived. On the very same day newly launched IPO of ICICI Prudential Life Insurance had to suffer around 11% price fall. Except stock market, there was extremely marginal impact on India’s trade and economy. Finance minister Arun Jaitley showed confidence in economy and said any recent tensions due to surgical strike will not last for long time and there will be extremely marginal effect on economy in future. Long Term Impact There can be three possibilities SEP-OCT 3) Growth. If investors see that India is not safe to invest money then they might pull out money and it will lead to decline. But if we see the past trends, the probability of this to happen is very less as India always remained strong after such issues. Market will not react if traders and investor feels that there will be no impact of surgical strike. And on the other side some fund managers see the immediate decline as an opportunity. They start buying at low prices and from certain level price start raising again which result in growth. As far as India is concerned apart from one major decline market has come to stability and behaving normally. So there will be short term and long term impact for this kind of situation. Sometimes market grows and sometimes it decline. It all depends on how much traders and investors show confidence in the market and government also play an important role in this. 1) Decline 2) Stable - By Hitesh Jain 2|Page