Hike and Bike System Master Plan Hike and Bike System Master Plan | Page 43

HIKE AND BIKE SYSTEM MASTER PLAN
Existing Bicycle Demand The following table summarizes estimated existing daily bicycle trips in Arlington . The table indicates that over 28,000 trips are potentially made on a daily basis . The model also shows that non-commuting trips comprise the vast majority of existing bicycle demand . The Plan was not built around this number of estimated trips , but it is a useful tool to illustrate potential existing demand .
Table 2.3 : Aggregate Estimate of Existing
Daily Bicycling Activity in Arlington
Variable
Figure
Calculations
Employed Adults , 16 Years and Older a . Study Area Population ( 1 )
356,764
b . Employed Persons ( 2 )
175,525
c . Bicycle Commute Percentage ( 2 )
0.2 %
d . Bicycle Commuters
292
( b * c )
School Children
e . Population , ages 6-14 ( 3 )
54,021
f . Estimated School Bicycle Commute Share ( 4 )
2 %
g . School Bicycle Commuters
1,080
( e * f )
College Students
h . Full-Time College Students ( 5 )
24,810
i . Bicycle Commute Percentage ( 6 )
10 %
j . College Bicycle Commuters
2,481
( h * i )
Work and School Commute Trips Sub-Total
k . Daily Commuters Sub-Total
3,853
( d + g + j )
l . Daily Commute Trips Sub-Total
7,706
( k * 2 )
Other Utilitarian and Discretionary Trips
m . Ratio of “ Other ” Trips in Relation to Commute Trips ( 7 )
2.73
ratio
n . Estimated Non-Commute Trips
21,037
( l * m )
Total Estimated Bicycle Trips 28,743 ( l + n )
Notes :
Above : Bicycles parked outside Arlington ’ s Dunn
Elementary School
Census data collected from 2005-2007 U . S . Census American
Community Survey ( ACS ) for Arlington . ( 1 ) 2005-2007 ACS ( 2 ) 2005-2007 ACS ( 3 ) 2005-2007 ACS ( 4 ) Estimated share of school children who commute by bicycle , as of 2000 ( source : National Safe Routes to School Surveys , 2003 ). ( 5 ) Source : Wikipedia for UT-Arlington . ( 6 ) Review of bicycle commute share in 7 university communities ( source : National Bicycling & Walking Study , FHWA , Case Study # 1 , 1995 ).
( 7 ) 27 % of all trips are commute trips ( source : National Household Transportation Survey , 2001 ).
Chapter 2 : Current Conditions | 2-13