CONTEMPORARY EURASIA VOLUME VIII (1) ContemporaryEurasia81 | Page 54

CAUGHT IN THE MIDDLE: WHAT IS BISHKEK’S HEDGING STRATAGEM? Following the post-Soviet smuta [time of troubles] and the collapse of the Soviet Union as the dominant Eurasian hegemon in 1991, a geopolitical power void emerged, contributing to various security challenges in Central Asia that consequently became a highly volatile region. These conditions have been primarily constituted by transnational organised crime, divisive clan politics and – most substantially – the so-called “three evils”. Kyrgyzstan, along with the other Central Asian republics, recognised the necessity to re-establish a political order, embracing bargaining interactions with dominants amidst the domestic struggles for power and the quest to find its place in the international system. 34 Bishkek has traditionally formulated multidirectional foreign policy, seeking comprehensive engagement with potential dominants (i.e. Russia, China, the West) as a post-independence grand strategy, in order to obtain substantial security and economic bargains. 35 Facing inter-ethnic tensions in the domestic dimension, as well as on-going threats stemming from the war in Afghanistan since the USA launched its War on Terror, Kyrgyzstan has reiterated its signals of security commitment to containing the subversive forces in Central Asia. In particular, it is committed to the enhancement of regional institution-making, primarily (1) the CSTO and (2) the SCO. (1) In order to combat the aforementioned threats in the post-Soviet space appropriately, the Collective Security Treaty was signed in 1992 as the basis for comprehensive military engagement, which was further enhanced by the creation of the CSTO in 2002. 36 Within the framework of the CSTO, Russia is recognised as the prime force concerning its formidable military capabilities, compared to the other members. The inception of the CSTO can hence be regarded as a “social contract”. Since Russia provides sufficient military armament and equipment and displays its significant deployability by increasing the number of military bases in Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, it does simultaneously contribute to the generation of a regional security order. Due to the establishment of a permanent consultation platform, the member states are, in turn, able to renegotiate the bargains corresponding to their respective security preferences and interests with Russia. 37 Kyrgyzstan’s commitment is, thereby, of particular significance for 34 P. Stobdan, Central Asia. Democracy, Instability and Strategic Game in Kyrgyzstan (New Delhi: Pentagon Press, 2014), 105-106. 35 Ibid., 5. 36 CSTO, “Dogovor o kollektivnoy bezopasnosti ot 15 maya 1992 goda [Treaty of Collective Security of May 15 th 1992]”, online available at http://odkb-csto.org/documents/ (accessed June 23 2018); CSTO, “Ustav Organizatsii Dogovora o kollektivnoy bezopasnosti ot 23 oktyabrya 2002 goda [Charter of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation of October 23 rd 2002]”, online available at http://odkb-csto.org/documents/ (accessed June 23 2018). 37 Vladimir M. Zakharov, “Sostoyanie i perspektivy razvitiya Organizatsii Dogovora o kollektivnoy bezopasnosti [Status and Perspectives of the Development of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation]”, Problemy national'noy strategii, Vol. 12, No. 3 (2012): 84-97. 54