Vanderbilt Political Review Winter 2014 | Page 22

INTERNATIONAL VANDERBILT POLITICAL REVIEW Will freedom endure? Long-term success in Afghanistan is far from guaranteed O n September 20, 2001, nine days after the deadliest terrorist attack in history on United States soil, President George W. Bush stood before a grieving nation. His message that night was simple: the United States would stand resolute in the War on Terror. Al-Qaeda would not win. The Taliban leaders of Afghanistan would be held liable for bringing Osama Bin Laden and his forces to justice or they too would fall. It was this resolve that also prompted international support. On October 7, 2001, the United States-led coalition began Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF) in Afghanistan to bring Osama Bin Laden to justice, destroy the Al-Qaeda network, and depose the Taliban regime. According to a 2013 CNN poll, the War in Afghanistan is the longest and most unpopular war in United States history. Nearly 2,300 U.S. soldiers have lost their lives and the fighting has cost over $700 billion dollars. Success has been elusive. Although Osama Bin Laden and other key Al-Qaeda operatives are dead, Al-Qaeda has evolved into a decentralized network with bases in Yemen and across North Africa. Within Afghanistan, the situation is dire. Despite President Obama’s 2010 troop surge, the Taliban has gained a firm foothold in many parts of the country which will only increase in the power vacuum left after U.S. troops withdraw later this year. In addition, President Hamid Karzai has as of yet refused to sign the Strategic Partnership Agreement—a bilateral security agreement that outlines U.S. troop involvement after 2014— even though billions of dollars’ worth of desperately-needed military and economic aid are contingent upon the deal. As such, formulating policy beyond 2014 is particularly difficult. The United 22 by VIVEK SHAH ‘17 States, along with the international community, has invested far too much into Afghanistan for the state to fall back into the hands of the Taliban or once again become a terrorist safe haven. On the other hand, the United States is in a precarious position. The growing presence of the Taliban casts doubt on the legitimacy of the central government in Kabul, and with presidential elections looming in April and no clear favorite, there is increasing concern that elections may erode into sectarian violence. These circumstances undoubtedly factored into the recent Nation