The Senior Analyst Jan. 2014 | Page 13

THE SENIOR ANALYST Jan 2014 It can be implemented only when Parliament passes the Constitution Amendment Bill. The bill has been pending in Parliament since March 2011. To pass the bill votes of at least two-thirds of the members are required in its favour. In addition, at least half of the state Assemblies will have to pass the Bill. Parliament’s Standing Committee on Finance recently submitted its report on the Bill. It is improbable that it will be passed in this election year. The likely GST rate would be 14-16 %. GST would help widening the coverage of tax base and improve tax compliance, which will result in higher generation of revenues, which shall in turn lead to the possibility of lowered tax burden. Likely Structure Debacle of merger of Air India and Indian Airlines with the staff of both the carriers up in arms has not yet settled down and has been detrimental to the progress of National Airline. In India, a merger between two government agencies is too challenging a task. Similarly, integrating the revenue collection services of 28 odd states and an extremely powerful Central Service into one GST collection agent is indeed a challenge for a country like India where the tax collection system has always been in question due to lack of governance and transparency. It is highly likely that India is going to implement the dual GST model, as opposed to a single unified GST across the country. The decision taken by India is largely influenced by its federal structure and Canadian model of GST is the basis for its proposal. Accordingly, it has two components. CGST includes: Central excise duty, service tax, customs tax, surcharges. SGST includes: Entertainment tax, Luxury tax, VAT, Taxes on lottery. Stumbling blocks for GST Like any change model, GST has certain roadblocks. Prominent among them are: Administrative Hiccups: Existing framework in Asia and worldwide countries Non-Asian GST rates Asian GST rates Australia Brazil Netherlands Denmark France Germany Italy New Zealand Russia South Africa Switzerland UK Bangladesh China Indonesia Japan Malaysia Nepal Pakistan Philippines Singapore South Korea Srilanka Thailand 0 5 10 Asian GST rates 15 20 0 5 10 15 20 25 Non-Asian GST rates Page 13