The Business Exchange Swindon & Wiltshire Edition 25: June/July 2016 | Page 7

BUSINESS NEWS Carl Reader is author of The Start-up Coach, a Teach Yourself title from publishers Hodder & Staughton and director of d&t chartered accountants and strategic advisors, based in Badbury near Swindon. In this column he discusses the big debate- Brexit. BREXIT- My mind is made up As we know, there is one thing that everyone should do when they don’t have the facts to hand, they should learn, learn some more and then reflect. You can never have too many facts or too much information and on something as important as whether the UK remains in the EU, the need to be informed is essential. I’ve made my decision by reading articles by campaigners on both sides, including this very impartial read – Europe In or Out: Everything You Need To Know by David Charter. My decision is that I am in favour of Brexit, but to be honest, the decision has been steered more by the political situation of the European Union than how it will affect our pockets. The reality is that it won’t make much difference at all. The Common Arguments Many people are voting either way for the wrong reasons (both in terms of legitimacy, and also in some cases morally), such as: Pro Brexit: • It will reduce terrorism (yeah, right…) • It will stop people nicking our jobs (there’s a better way to stop that…) • It will stop immigration • “God Save The Queen”… Anti Brexit • No-one will trade with Little Britain (like how we don’t buy anything “Made in China”) • Our national security will be threatened • How will we get skilled staff? • “It’s racist that you don’t agree with …” Yes, the last argument on either side is tongue in cheek – but not a million miles away from what I see. The reality – Business There’s a simple fact here. Despite the UK being a little dot compared to the huge land mass of some countries, we are actually a huge trading partner for many countries. We are the 8th largest merchandise importer, 6th biggest importer of goods, and the 2nd biggest exporter of commercial services. The EU has a massive trade deficit with the UK. In simple terms, they sell us more stuff than we buy from them. Why would they not look to arrange a trade deal? And take this one step further. Do we need a trade deal? We don’t have one with the US: funnily enough, we can’t sign one in our own right whilst a member of the EU. And we certainly couldn’t become a member of NAFTA. Yes, our trade with the EU has increased dramatically whilst in the EU. Guess who’s trade has increased more? The rest of the world – yup, those ones outside the EU… And it goes without saying that they aren’t members. Our more natural trading partners would be the countries of the former Commonwealth and our former colonies, as we share a common legislative system, democracy, and in many cases language. We currently struggle to deal with them due to the tariffs placed by the EU on non-EU trade. The reality – Immigration Immigration won’t stop with Brexit. What will happen however is the Government will be free to choose it’s own system for deciding who can and who can’t legally migrate into the UK. How will this stop us employing skilled staff from other countries? Whether EU resident or not, migration could (and to caveat this, it is of course up to each elected Government) be based on need rather than requirement – we will still be able to welcome the German coder, the French artist, as well as the Indian doctor and the Australian lawyer. Confusing a vote for Brexit with a vote for closing our doors is a naive assumption at best. The reality – National Security I’m no expert on this, but I appear to be wiser than some who comment on this. EU membership is not a pre-requisite for NATO membership. The clue is in the first two initials. And the fact that it was formed in 1949. There’s an unfortunate reality in the world – terrorism. Guess what? The terrorists will work out how to get here if they want to, whether we are in the EU or not. They might already be here. The reality – Social and Political Factors I’m a strong believer in democracy. I believe that decisions that affect us should be made by a government elected by the people, not an unelected official. I’m also a believer in fairness. How is it fair that we, as a nation, allow free movement of those fortunate enough to live in a country within the EU, which impacts on our ability to help those in need from outside the EU, OR accept those who can add to our society from outside the EU? How is it fair that we accept the intra-EU cartel, which through trade tariffs effectively forces us to trade within the EU, accepting the red tape and bureaucracy that goes with it, whilst financially penalising trade with those outside the borders? If Europe was done properly, let’s say more like the US, this would be a very different proposition. As it stands, it’s an uncomfortable halfway house; and one that costs us more to be in than out, in so many ways. Follow Carl on Twitter @CarlReader and watch his series of business videos here: http://ow.ly/ZsYZZ now recruiting staff... and clients! visit our websites for more information www.dennisandturnbull.com www.dandtcareers.co.uk 01793 741414 THE BUSINESS EXCHANGE 2016 7