Test Drive 2q:2014 | Page 46

REGIONAL S N A P S H OT: M RU ZO N E OV E RV I E W                                        Guinea Ivory Coast enerally, statistics on economic performance in Guinea are highly unreliable. This is partly due to the fact that Guinea’s economy continues to be plagued by past misgovernance, pillaged public good, and degradation of infrastructure. s one of the world’s least developed countries (ranked 170th of 187 counties on the Human Development Index 2012)1, Côte d’Ivoire exhibits social marginalization that is quantitatively and qualitatively extensive and is clearly structurally ingrained. Generally, statistics on the Guinean economy are, if available, highly unreliable. To give just one example, the son of ex-president Conté allegedly had all the iron rails from the colonial Conakry-Kankan railway ripped up and sold as scrap metal to a Chinese company. Stretches of road, such as Macenta-Kissidougou and MamouKouroussa, are as bad as they have been at any point in the past 25 years. Almost all relevant indicators point to severe problems, although violent conflict has made collection of valid data difficult or impossible over the last decade. For instance, data on income inequality (producing a Gini coefficient of 0.41)2 refer to 2008. Liberia P ost-conflict reconstruction measures continue to yield considerable gains in the rate of GDP growth, with the IMF describing Liberia’s economic outlook as favorable. It has projected an above average real GDP growth rate (by Sub-Saharan African standards) of 8% – 9% in the 2012 – 2013 period. GPD per capita stood at US$298 in 2011 and was projected to exceed the US$300 mark in 2012 – 2013. Projected GDP growth for 2014 stands at 7.5% with inflation at 8.04%.2 Liberia continued its recovery from civil war by improving political, administrative and economic conditions. The strategy of becoming a middle-income country (Vision Liberia Rising 2030) through private-sector development driven by investments in the extractive industries and a broad based public sector reform has been implemented in the medium-term Agenda for Transformation 2012-2017 (PRSP II). Liberia’s president, Ellen JohnsonSirleaf, continues to enjoy international support for her reform agenda, while her approval ratings back home suffer from a perceived gap between proclaimed reform initiatives and limited tangible impact on the ground. 1.World Bank 2. Index Mundi 3. IMF G Given these handicaps, the economy is showing considerable resilience. Gross capital fo