SABI Magazine Volume 9 Issue 4 | Page 9

Research Estimates of the area under and water used by irrigated crops are both outdated and vary greatly. Recent estimates of the actual area under irrigated crops range between 1 252 601 ha 1 and 1 350 000 ha 2 . The Van der Stoep and Tylcoat 1 estimate is based on the WARMS database, which recorded the registered area under irrigation in 2014, as 1 440 748 ha. The 1990 estimate of 1 290 132 ha by the Committee on Food and Feeding strategy 1990 3,4, is still considered as the last authoritative empirical estimate of the actual area under irrigated agriculture in South Africa. Water use by irrigated agriculture was estimated to be 10 740 million m 3 /year in 1996 (as part of the “Overview of Water Resource Availability and Utilization in South Africa”) and 7 836 million m 3 /year in 2000 (as part of the “National Water Resources Strategy (NWRS)”) 5 . Note that the latter estimate is based on a 98% assurance of supply. © With many relevant water resources related questions in mind, current research jointly funded by the Water Research Commission (WRC) and the Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (DAFF) hopes to shed light on the current extent of irrigated agriculture in South Africa as well as the consumptive water use. In this article some research findings are shared. PROVISIONAL NOT FOR REPRODUCTION Earth observation approach A novel approach is being developed to routinely update outdated estimates related to South African irrigated agriculture. Earth observation and geospatial data provide an independent and objective data source for assessing water resources. Such data sets, in combination with sophisticated biophysical modelling and machine learning algorithms, are being employed in an innovative way to map irrigated areas and to estimate the actual water consumed by irrigated agriculture. In the WRC- DAFF funded research all fields actively irrigated (permanent, © © PROVISIONAL PROVISIONAL NOT FOR REPRODUCTION NOT FOR REPRODUCTION Figure 1: Water use (actual evapotranspiration, ET) for 2014/15 (1 August 2014 to 31 July 2015) for the entire South Africa (top), Western Cape (bottom left) and Mpumalanga provinces (bottom right). supplementary or occasionally) during the period 1 August 2014 to 30 July 2015 are accounted for. Previously irrigated areas or fallow fields are also mapped, but as a separate class and are not considered in the water use calculations for the period of assessment.