Reports Disruptive Technologies in Commodity Trading | Page 20

Disruptive Technologies in Commodity Trading Markets and Unicredit are involved in this project, which uses Hyperledger Fabric technology, and which spans 11 European countries. Some of these new initiatives intend to use the con- cept of an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) to raise funds in which cryptocurrencies are offered to early backers in return for legal tender or other cryptocurrencies. According to PwC 12 , some $13.7billion has already been raised in this manner so far in 2018, yet over 1,000 such projects have already failed globally this year. However, there are calls for increased regulation of the ICO mechanism. Given the hype and invest- ment pouring into these markets, the analogy with the dot com era is easy to make. In fact, the FCA 13 is already investigating a number of cases and seems set to take action. There are already skeptics emerging who see block- chain as nothing revolutionary, and question its cost and scalability 14 particularly for peer-to-peer trading… instead they expect blockchain to become an em- bedded technology where it has specific use. With a maximum speed of 7 transactions per second, how could blockchain meet the required performance of a commodity market and at what cost per transaction? Meanwhile, GlobalData 15 , expects the hype around blockchain projects to sharply decline through 2018 as the costs and complexities become better under- stood. A ComTechAdvisory Report Despite that, most of these areas of interest for blockchain development have impacts on how data captured or processed by the CTRM, CM and ERP solutions; so, it’s perhaps not surprising that our re- spondents believe that it these types of vendors that stand the largest chance of being disrupted by block- chain in the future (Figure 6). Over 60% of those an- swering our survey believed E/CTRM vendors will be disrupted and over 40% saw a similar fate for ERP software providers. However, blockchain-based, proofs-of-concept still face significant challenges, including concerns about their performance to match and settle trade transac- tions in volume, difficulties around the legal definition of what is the venue (a de-centralized, peer-to-peer structure makes it difficult to define a centralized ven- ue operator and some level of governance is still re- quired), cost considerations, and a host of other criti- cal concerns around regulation, regulatory reporting, and developing consensus around processes/busi- ness constructs by potential members. Certainly, one of the key advantages of blockchain is that it eliminates the need for a “trusted” intermediary and in doing so, eliminates fees and other costs needed to support that intermediary. However, in eliminat- ing that intermediary, one needs to understand how that system will be governed and maintained - who will manage the peer-to-peer venue? Other ques- tions without obvious answers include: where will E/ https://cointelegraph.com/news/pwc-report-finds-that-2018-ico-volume-is-already-double-that-of-previous-year https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=7998fd47-2196-4f34-a284-5d41235b285a 14 https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/blockchain-might-not-be-best-for-energy-trading#gs.4RnAyuM 15 https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/whats-next-for-energy-blockchains-as-ico-hype-fades#gs.2Sru2CQ 12 13 © Commodity Technology Advisory LLC, 2018, All Rights Reserved. 20