Offshore Guidebook | Real Estate Investor Magazine Offshore Guidebook 2013 | Page 17

against your name when you walk away from your property, the bank can’t come after you for your What caused the crisis and where are we now? Before we can understand where the market is going, we need to understand what caused the chaos, so that we can make educated and informed decisions about the future. The two major issues, the subprime crisis and the oversupply of property are discussed below. The sub prime crisis a. It is all about the ‘reset mortgages’. What this means is the banks/ mortgage lenders were providing really cheap finance to people on 2, 3 and 5 year fixes. What mortgage brokers told people is that when they came to the end of their fixed period they would just remortgage again. However, as the market changed, they could not refinance, the mortgage rates often doubled if not tripled and then they could not afford their mortgage. b. Another problem is that in the USA all lending is ‘non-recourse lending’. Basically what this means is that although you will get a black mark www.reimag.co.za other assets. Therefore, people, who find themselves in this negative equity position, find it easier to walk away from their mortgage than to continue trying to pay. c. Ease of arranging finance: When I asked people how one got a mortgage before 2007 they said, “All you needed was a heartbeat!” This was the major problem – anyone was given mortgages and this is what caused the “subprime” crisis. The banks/mortgage lenders provided what was known as “NINJA” loans – “No income, no job, no assets”. When George Bush was re-elected in 2003, he said it should be every American’s right to own a home and encouraged banks to lend freely. As an example in Orlando we were told how the bank would approach lenders and ask them what they would want to pay monthly. They would normally be paying $2000 a month but would agree to pay $200 a month and put the rest on the end of the loan. Most people will always take the easy mortgage and that is why most Americans had 3 to 4 mortgages over their homes. d. The question is: “Where do we go from here.” The scary thing is that there is another resurgence of reset mortgages (over $1 trillion) which is on the horizon for the Commercial Securitised Debt. Although government and banks are preparing for this and doing everything within their power to prevent the same catastrophe from recurring – it is still coming and it depends on how successful they are as to the type of damage it will do to the commercial market. Oversupply of property a. Oversupply: Unlike UK, Australia or South Africa where demand continued to out strip supply, in the USA there were and are major oversupply problems. The country got so caught up in the Offshore Handbook 2013 15