My first Publication ocbc_ar17_fullreport_english | Page 92

RISK MANAGEMENT (This section forms an integral part of OCBC’s audited financial statements) Group, we are exposed to market risks from our trading, client servicing and balance sheet management activities. within their approved trading strategies and investment mandates, while MRM acts as the independent monitoring unit to ensure sound governance. The key risk management activities of identification, measurement, monitoring, control and reporting are regularly reviewed by MRM and the MRMC to ensure effective risk management under prevailing market conditions. Our market risk management strategy and market risk limits are established within the Group’s risk appetite and business strategies, taking into account macroeconomic and market conditions. Market risk limits are subject to regular review. MARKET RISK MANAGEMENT OVERSIGHT AND ORGANISATION The Market Risk Management Committee (“MRMC”) is the senior management group that supports the BRMC and CEO in managing market risk. The MRMC oversees the market risk management objectives, framework and policies governing prudent market risk taking, which are backed by risk methodologies, measurement systems and internal controls. The MRMC is chaired by CRO and supported by the Market Risk Management (“MRM”) department. MRM is the independent risk-control unit responsible for operationalising the market risk management framework to support business growth while ensuring adequate risk control and oversight. MARKET RISK MANAGEMENT APPROACH Market risk management is a shared responsibility. Business units are responsible for proactively managing risk Other Risk Measures As the Group’s main market risk is interest rate fluctuations, Present Value of a Basis Point (“PV01”), which measures the change in value of interest rate- sensitive exposures resulting from a one basis point increase across the entire yield curve, is an important measure monitored on a daily basis. Other than VaR and PV01, other risk measurements used include notional positions, Profit & Loss (“P&L”) for One Basis Point Move in Credit Spreads (“CS01”) and derivative greeks for specific exposure types. MARKET RISK IDENTIFICATION Risk identification is addressed via our internal NPAP at product inception. Market risks are also identified by our risk managers from their ongoing interactions with the business units. MARKET RISK MEASUREMENTS Value-At-Risk Value-at-risk (“VaR”), as a key market risk measure for the Group’s trading activities, is a component of aggregate market risk appetite. VaR is measured and monitored by its individual market risk components, namely interest rate risk, foreign exchange risk, equity risk and credit spread risk as well as at the consolidated level. Our VaR model is based on a historical simulation at a 99% confidence level, and over a one- day holding period. As VaR is a statistical measure based on historical market fluctuations, past changes in market risk factors may not accurately predict forward- looking market conditions all the time. Under the defined confidence threshold, losses on a single trading day may exceed VaR, on average, once every 100 days. Stress Testing and Scenario Analysis We perform stress testing and scenario analysis to better quantify and assess potential losses arising from low probability but plausible extreme market conditions. The stress scenarios are regularly reviewed and fine-tuned to ensure that they remain relevant to the Group’s trading activities and risk profile as well as prevailing and forecasted economic conditions. These analyses determine if potential losses from such extreme market conditions are within the Group’s risk tolerance. The table below provides a summary of the Group’s trading VaR profile by risk types as at 31 December 2017 and 31 December 2016. VaR BY RISK TYPE – Trading Portfolio 2017 SGD Millions End of the period Average 5.44 2.13 0.55 1.38 -4.40 5.48 4.97 0.79 1.87 -4.88 5.10 8.24 Interest Rate VaR Foreign Exchange VaR Equity VaR Credit Spread VaR Diversification Effect (1) Aggregate VaR (1) (2) 90 2016 Minimum Maximum 2.63 1.81 0.39 1.16 NM (2) 9.06 13.77 2.04 5.49 NM (2) 4.44 15.85 End of the period Average 3.64 7.69 0.51 4.63 -8.52 3.86 7.1 0.84 4.09 -7.38 2.45 2.34 0.21 1.96 NM (2) 6.73 13.53 2.31 9.95 NM (2) 7.95 8.51 4.48 14.10 Diversification effect is computed as the difference between Aggregate VaR and sum of asset class VaRs. Not meaningful as the minimum and maximum VaR may have occurred on different days for different asset classes. OCBC ANNUAL REPORT 2017 Minimum Maximum