Military Review English Edition January-February 2014 | Page 49

LOOKING FOR A CHAMPION change. Out of selfishness or simple wrongheadedness, individuals and groups often ignore all signs that change is upon them and that they are in peril of being left behind as the world changes about them. Typically, members need an influential individual to push them off the burning platform into the uninviting waters below. “The consultant must have a strong internal leader/change champion to support her efforts. This would be the individual, clearly accepted and respected by the organization’s members, who would speak up (and speak first) to highlight the change’s positive elements.”5 Without doubt, the consulting business is prone to a frothy jargon that makes the critic rightly wonder if the practitioner has an original thought in his head or if he is merely spouting the latest canned buzzwords. A phrase like “champion of change” may especially cause the reader in uniform to ask, “What is this nonsense? The military is already full of leaders.” Unfortunately, being a leader and being a champion of change are two separate entities, especially when one considers there is generally a link between military promotion and upholding the status quo, not for agitating for reform. As an example, in 1906, the Austrian Army conducted a series of maneuvers before the watchful and anxious eyes of the Hapsburg emperor, the octogenarian Francis Joseph I. By this point in time, the polyglot Austro-Hungarian Empire, not unlike Afghanistan, was already under great pressure internally from its numerous ethnic divisions and externally from rapacious neighbors like Italy and Russia. Worse yet, there was little regard for the Austrian army throughout Europe. This combination of internal feebleness and external aggression should have provided a sufficiently incandescent burning platform to have driven the Austrians to be on the lookout for any advantage, receptive to any innovation, “[but] when the vehicle [an armored car] scared the horses of the imperial suite, Francis Joseph, visibly annoyed, declared that ‘such a thing would never be of military value.’”6 Naturally, Francis Joseph was neither the first, nor the last not to recognize the implications of onrushing technological innovation. It seems that, often, only disaster can spur much-needed reforms in both business and war, though even then it is not a certainty. MILITARY REVIEW January-February 2014 As an aside, the need for a champion of change is not to suggest that this champion will be correct or his quest for change laudable. History is rife with misguided initiatives for change (societal, business, or military) that led to disaster (Mao’s Great Leap Forward perhaps being the bloodiest example). Thus, it is not the purpose of this paper to examine whether any particular desired end-state for the ANSF, be it an emphasis on light infantry units, heavy mechanized formations, or teams of time-traveling cybernetic organisms, is appropriate or not. Such a debate, especially within the Afghan apparatus, would be highly laudable. However, there is no evidence that any such conversation is taking place. Whither the Platform? Whither the Champion? “I think that people here expect miracles. American management thinks they can just copy from Japan—but they don’t know what to copy!” —W. Edwards Deming So what are the consequences of missing these two essential pillars of reform? As of the latest round of the now discontinued Commander’s Unit Assessment Tool (note: the CUAT has been replaced by the Regional Command ANSF Assessment Report [RASR] as of September 2013) reports in July 2013, only 257 of 827 combined units in the Afghan National Army (ANA) and Afghan National Police received the highest rating, that being the oxymoronic “Independent with Advisors.”7 At the ministries of interior and defense level, only two of 78 staff sections or cross-functional areas received the CM-1A rating of being capable of autonomous operations.8 To see only 31 percent of the ANSF and 2 percent of the staff sections receive their highest respective ratings is discouraging after a decade of American and NATO tutelage and a disbursement of $60.28 billion on Afghan reconstruction out of $96.57 billion appropriated by Congress—and all this from a nation renowned for its warrior ethos.9 However, even these dismally low ratings may be overly optimistic. An audit by the DOD Office of the Inspector General noted, “The Commander’s Unit Assessment Tool did not capture the capability and effectiveness of ANA logistics and maintenance systems at or below the corps level. As a result, the International Security Assistance Force Joint Command was unable to adequately measure 47