LUSD Facilities Master Plan | Page 76

Step Three: Housing Development

Section Five

D e m o g r a p h i c s & C a p a c i t y

Livingston Union School District | Facilities Master Plan

Step Three: Housing Development

Migration Projection with Housing
Taking into account all factors including student progressions, birth rates, capture rates, migration rates and housing development, Tables 9 and Figures 12 identify a ten year projection utilizing the Migration and birth factors from Step Two above and incorporating the housing scenario described above.
TABLE 9: PROJECTED ENROLLMENT – MIGRATION, BIRTH RATES AND HOUSING FIGURE 12: PROJECTED ENROLLMENT – MIGRATION, BIRTH RATES AND HOUSING
Grade
Actual
2015-16
2016 / 17
Projected Enrollment- Escalation In Housing Development
2017 / 18
2018 / 19
2019 / 20
2020 / 21
2021 / 22
2022 / 23
2023 / 24
2024 / 25
2025 / 26
K
340
322
344
344
344
344
349
349
353
357
362
1
258
280
264
282
282
282
286
286
288
290
294
2
244
260
282
266
284
284
288
288
290
291
292
3
290
232
248
270
254
272
274
274
275
276
276
4
285
290
232
248
270
256
277
304
306
307
311
5
258
284
289
231
247
269
255
273
275
275
275
6
285
258
284
289
231
249
276
286
308
310
310
7
293
289
262
288
293
235
252
275
262
281
285
8
305
296
292
265
291
296
240
256
279
263
289
Total K- 5
1,675
1,668
1,659
1,641
1,681
1,707
1,729
1,774
1,787
1,796
1,810
Total 6- 8
883
843
838
842
815
780
768
817
849
854
884
Total K- 8 2,558 2,511 2,497 2,483 2,496 2,487 2,497 2,591 2,636 2,650 2,694
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