Section Five
D e m o g r a p h i c s
Livingston Union School District | Facilities Master Plan
&
C a p a c i t y
Step Three: Housing Development
Housing
In recent history the District has experienced residential growth equating to approximately 20 new housing units per year.
Students being generated from this rate of housing development are captured in the analysis as a factor of the cohort migration rate outlined in the previous section. Over the next ten years, however, the District may expect the rate of housing
development to grow and exceed these figures by up to double the amount of new units per year. Throughout the development of this Study, we have worked with the City of Livingston and County of Merced planning departments to estimate
residential development anticipated over the next ten years.
FIGURE 11: MAP OF PL ANNED AND APPROVED HOUSING DEVELOPMENT WITHIN DISTRIC T
Students generated from housing developments are a factor in calculating enrollment growth within the District with
many different issues impacting the rate and level of future development. The Study projects housing units by including
all City approved units in housing development projects that are moving along in the planning and development process.
The following housing scenario includes all active development projects and subdivided housing lots to form the basis for
the enrollment projections.
Distribution of the projected housing units is estimated for each year across the ten year period. The distribution is based
on conversations with the City of Livingston and County of Merced planning departments and historical development
rates of subdivisions for the potential timing of completion of those units. It is important to note that if the housing units
are constructed at a faster rate the resulting enrollment increase will be realized by the District at a faster rate as well.
Table 8 identifies the annual housing development contemplated for the housing scenario.
TABLE 8: ESC AL ATION IN HOUSING DEVELOPMENT
Year
Projected
Development
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
New Units
20
22
22
48
50
50
50
50
50
56
Total
418
In addition to the units identified in Table 8 and Figure 11, there is potential for development of approximately 932 units
on exiting vacant residential zoned land within the City and approximately 1,139 units on existing vacant residential zoned
land in the County. There are currently no approved plans for development of this vacant land, therefore, these units are
not included in the housing augmentation of the enrollment projection. Based on the current student generation rate, it is
estimated that the development of the vacant residential land could add approximately 1,187 students to the District.
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