Journal of Rehabilitation Medicine 51-1CompleteIssue | Page 70

67 Effects of multimodal back exercise Table IX. Percent changes in Graded Chronic Pain Status grade shares GCPS GCPS GCPS GCPS GCPS 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, % % % % % Pre treatment 1 st year post treatment 2 nd year post treatment BE ST BE ST BE ST 0.0 31.3 30.9 24.3 13.5 0.0 35.6 28.9 17.4 18.2 1.7 67.0 15.1 10.0 6.2 3.6 39.5 19.9 21.4 15.6 2.9 68.1 12.4 10.2 6.4 3.5 46.1 23.8 13.7 12.9 BE: back exercise; ST: standard treatment DISCUSSION To our knowledge, this study is the first to investigate the therapeutic and economic effects of a multimodal back exercise programme in relationship to back pain severity (measured with the GCPS). This information is useful to patients with back pain and to health insurers. A key finding of this study is that the therapeutic effect is more pronounced the higher the level of back pain (GCPS) before the start of the exercise pro- gramme. Hence, the results point in the same direction as current research: physical exercise achieves low to moderate therapeutic effects for chronic back pain. These effects could not be demonstrated for subacute and acute back pain (10). However, the chronic, suba- cute, and acute classification is made over the course of the back pain, while the GCPS ranks the back problems in a more complex fashion, over the course of the back pain plus the pain intensity and pain-induced functional impairment in daily life, leisure and work (11). Thus, the results of the present study bring the connection between the severity of the problem and the effecti- veness of the exercise programme into sharper focus. A novel finding is that the economic impact also becomes more pronounced the more severe the back pain experienced before the start of the exercise pro- gramme. As Lühmann et al. (25) surmised, the largest therapeutic and economic effects arise due to the high initial probability in the high-risk groups. The direct medical costs, and therefore also the potential for economic impact, at GCPS grade 4 (severe functional impairment) were more than double those at GCPS grade 1 (Table V and Fig. 3). Indeed, for grade 4, the multimodal back exercise represented a dominant stra- tegy, considering that therapeutic effects were realized in tandem with cost savings. For GCPS grade 1, by contrast, the MWTP of 19,300 EUR seems too high. This study helps to clarify the inconsistency in the literature about the cost-effectiveness of back training programmes (26, 27), since previous studies fell short in determining the effects differentiated by the degree of back pain. Furthermore, as shown in the present study, the economic impacts occur with a delay, while the therapeutic exercise effects appeared during the year of the intervention, the cost-effects only impact the second year following the start of the intervention (Fig. 2). Consequently, studies with shorter follow-ups are not set up to demonstrate the cost-effects. The multimodal exercise concept rested on the basis of discussed mechanisms of action, since the state of the research did not reflect the extent to which the positive effects of back training depend on the type, intensity, and volume of exercise (25, 10). Adaptive muscles and improved circulation in the muscle/joint structures are adduced as possible causes for the ef- ficacy of exercise for back pain (28). These adaptive reactions depend on the frequency of exercising, the exercise duration, and the loading. This speaks for a dose-effect relationship, such as we also encounter, for example, with cardio exercises (29, 30). The training volume, and thus the dosing of the multimodal exercise programme, therefore was conceived as correspon- dingly high, with a half year of exercising (36 training Table X. Changes in direct medical costs (EUR) and Graded Chronic Pain Status within in two years (post – pre) Changes in direct medical costs GCPS GCPS GCPS GCPS 1 2 3 4 Changes in GCPS values BE ST Difference BE ST Mean (SD) Mean (SD) absolute % 95% CI p Mean (SD) Mean (SD) absolute % 95% CI 897 617 971 367 491 517 1,011 4,909 406 100 –40 –4,543 [–367; 1,179] [–801; 1,001] [–1,787; 1,707] [–7,262; –1,823] 0.303 0.827 0.964 0.001 0.1 (0.6) –0.6 (0.7) –1.3 (1.0) –1.7 (1.3) 0.3 (0.9) –0.3 (0.7) –0.2 (0.9) –0.7 (1.1) –0.2 –0.3 –1.0 –1.0 [–0.4 [–0.5 [–1.4 [–1.6 (4,339) (4,750) (7,666) (7,215) (5,246) (5,458) (6,909) (18,189) 83 19 –4 –93 Difference –64 123 442 158 ; ; ; ; p 0.1] 0.006 –0.1] 0.001 –0.7] < 0.001 –0.5] < 0.001 BE: back exercise; ST: standard treatment; SD: standard deviation; CI: confidence interval. Table XI. Net monetary benefit (NMB) depending on differing maximum willingness to pay (MWTP) and Graded Chronic Pain Status λ = 0 EUR GCPS GCPS GCPS GCPS 1 2 3 4 λ = 4,370 EUR λ = 7,500 EUR λ = 19,300 EUR Mean 95% CI p Mean 95% CI p Mean 95% CI p Mean 95% CI p –406 –100 40 4,543 [–1,179; 367] [–1,001; 801] [–1707; 1,787] [1,823; 7,262] 0.303 0.827 0.964 0.001 –16 842 3,403   [–1254; 1,222] [–552; 2,235] [13; 6,792]   0.980 0.236 0.049   627 1,834 [–912; 2,167] [10; 3,659] 0.424 0.049     3,052 [10; 6,093] 0.049 J Rehabil Med 50, 2018