ISS 2020 Vision Future of Service Management | Seite 33

5. Trend Analysis Trends are an important tool in generating an awareness of possible futures. They create a framework in which to explore uncertainty, test assumptions, inspire innovation and assess risks. Evaluating the trends and signals of today reveals insights into the attitudes, values and systems of tomorrow that will come to shape all aspects of work and consumption. Where trends intersect is where the most significant opportunities and threats appear. Service futures within the FM industry are driven by the interactions and interdependencies between trends occurring at three frames of analysis. The three frames include megatrends, trends in Service Management and trends in FM Service Management. As outlined in figure 8, combining the three sets of trends gives life to the emerging service archetypes and Service Management strategies in an FM context described in chapter 6. Megatrends represent important social, political, technological and economic certainties that influence how Service Management will be approached in the future. They create a platform and frame of reference for important discussions of future strategic importance among FM service providers. Megatrends provide an explanatory factor to more industry-specific trends and give rise to new opportunities and challenges that can be seized and avoided by informed Facility Managers. Megatrends, trends in Service Management and trends in FM Service Management indicate that Service Management, particularly in the FM industry, will be transformed in the following ways: They will open up new avenues to apply existing and future technologies, they will change the way in which service providers compete and differentiate themselves in varied markets; they will affect work processes and future workforce requirements; and they will create entirely new service areas and service models. As a result, the relationship dynamics between service providers and others in the value network is changing, ushering in an entirely new service paradigm. Megatrends Trends in Service Management Trends in Service Management related to FM & CRE Figure 8: Frames of trend analysis Megatrends represent the first frame of analysis and reside at the global level. They are synthetic, complex aggregations of trends regarded as drivers of change and great forces in the macro-environment that impact business, economy, society, culture and people at all levels. They represent our assumed knowledge about the future with a relatively high degree of certainty. Megatrends last at least 10-15 years and are broad in scope and impact. 24 24 ISS World Services, ISS 2020 Vision: Future of Outsourcing and Perspectives for Facility Management, White Book, 2015. 31