IIC Journal of Innovation 8th Edition | Page 8

Causal Analytics in IIoT – AI That Knows What Causes What, and When  Production-based Root Cause Analysis has roots in the field of quality control for industrial manufacturing.  Process-based Root Cause Analysis, a follow-on to production-based RCA, broadens the scope of RCA to include business processes.  Failure-based Root Cause Analysis originates in the practice of failure analysis as employed in engineering and maintenance.  Systems-based Root Cause Analysis has emerged as an amalgam of the preceding schools, incorporating elements from other fields such as change management, risk management and systems analysis. assess root causes, but also find other causal factors. These causal factors may not lead to equipment or process failure but may still impact equipment or process performance. Root Cause Analysis became popular as an approach to methodically identify and correct the root causes of events instead of addressing symptomatic results of these events. The objective of root cause analysis is to prevent problem recurrence. Some popular root cause analysis techniques include “Five Whys” and Cause and Effect (Fishbone) diagrams. These techniques rely on human interpretation of event information and data and require experienced practitioners to conduct the analysis. It is often limited to a few critical production assets as the manual process is time-consuming and laborious. Wilson’s distinction between root causes and other causal factors provides some guidance on the application of causal analytics in an IoT context for this article. Traditional techniques focused only on finding the root causes through manual review. Modern techniques such as rCA described in this article, combined with IoT data and advances in AI, enable engineers to not only There are three main reasons to find a reliable, data-driven approach to finding root causes and causal factors for equipment failure and operational performance in industrial environments:  Aging workforce and a large number of experienced engineers retiring soon  Complexity of equipment, making it harder to troubleshoot  Inaccuracy of Root Cause Analysis Recent advances in cloud computing and AI provide the necessary infrastructure to analyze event data for IoT and other sources at massive scale. This means analysts can have a more expansive view of causal events rather than a reductionist view where the scope of an analysis is limited to what a human can process. M OTIVATION FOR D ATA -D RIVEN , R ELIABLE C AUSAL A NALYTICS Retiring Workforce With a retiring workforce in many industrial sectors, the experience needed to conduct meaningful RCAs is decreasing. As much of the traditional approaches rely on observational analysis, the number of experienced engineers that can provide reliable analysis is fast reducing. According to a January 2017 assessment by the US Department of Energy, 25% of US employees in electric and natural gas utilities - 4 - June 2018