Global Custodian Spring 2020 | Page 74

[ S U R V E Y | A G E N T B A N K S I N F R O N T I E R M A R K E T S ] Americas I n the ABFM 2020 survey, respons- es were received for the Americas region from investors or their inter- mediaries with activity in Argentina, Bermuda, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Panama and Uruguay. While all these results were taken into account in creating the regional average score, it is fair to say that only Argentina, accounting for over 60% of total responses for the region, has amassed sufficient responses for any robust conclusions to be drawn. Taken as a whole, service in frontier markets in the Americas is seen as broadly satisfactory, with only relation- ship management presenting any cause for concern. The situation is mitigated somewhat when scores are considered on an unweighted basis, in which case the average pushes into Satisfactory territory (4.00-4.99). In the area of regulation and compliance, the region does better, beating the global average by 16%. Argentina Looking at Argentina specifically, de- spite accounting for the bulk of respons- es in the region, it has registered weak scores in the areas of asset servicing and relationship management, below the regional average by 16% and 7% respec- tively. Other scores, however, are either Satisfactory (4.00-4.99) or Good (5.00- 5.99) with the impressive exception of regulation and compliance, which is rated Very Good (6.00-6.99) Citi, which has recorded 40% of the re- sponses for Argentina and is a dominant service provider across the region, has mixed scores at a regional level, with well above average results for client service and pricing, but, surprisingly, underscoring for asset servicing and relationship management. Although scores for asset safety and – again surprisingly – technology are below the regional average, they are nevertheless in Good range (5.00-5.99). At a market level for Argentina, the story is – not surprisingly – similar, though Citi’s score for technology is above the market average. 74 Global Custodian Spring 2020 COUNTRY SCORES Americas Argentina Account Management 5.16 5.05 Asset Safety 5.68 5.27 Asset Servicing 4.37 3.68 Cash Management and FX n/a n/a Client Service 4.44 4.35 Innovation 4.04 3.36 Liquidity Management n/a n/a Pricing 4.98 5.00 Regulation and Compliance 6.23 6.36 Relationship Management 3.90 3.63 Risk Management 5.11 5.12 Technology 5.63 4.80 At a macro level, the global market turmoil evident in the second half of Q1 is likely to complicate Argentina’s foreign debt restructuring plans. The country’s economy is already projected by Barclays Capital to contract by 2.1% this year. The New York Times recently pointed out that Argentina was in peril before the coronavirus pandemic. Its currency, the peso, lost more than two-thirds of its value in 2018 and 2019, as inflation exceeded 50%. Its economy contracted by 2% in 2019. Confirming the challenge, IMF man- aging director Kristalina Georgieva declared in late March that, “A substan- tial debt relief from Argentina’s private creditors will be needed to restore debt sustainability with high probability.” Addressing the coronavirus specifical- ly, she stated that, “Our objective is to pave the way for a stable and prosperous economy that can create jobs and raise living standards for the benefit of all Ar- gentines.” In other words, the country is not out of the woods. PROVIDER SCORES (REGIONAL) Americas Citi Versus regional average Account Management 5.16 4.88 -0.28 Asset Safety 5.68 5.08 -0.60 Asset Servicing 4.37 3.80 -0.57 Cash Management and FX n/a n/a n/a Client Service 4.44 5.00 0.56 Innovation 4.04 4.11 0.07 Liquidity Management n/a n/a n/a Pricing 4.98 5.29 0.30 Regulation and Compliance 6.23 6.42 0.19 Relationship Management 3.90 3.64 -0.26 Risk Management 5.11 4.83 -0.28 Technology 5.63 5.00 -0.63