Newsletter No. 65;
IRBMS
in India are mainly three types one is Disasters like pick up again in September. The four-month
Flood fast moving second is disasters like Drought monsoon season gives about 70 per cent of the
relatively slower and lastly very slow disaster like country's rainfall.
drying up of Groundwater and pollution etc. The As per IMD North-west India, comprising key
climate change has changed the short term and kharif-crop
long term rainfall cycle, once the low rainfall years Haryana and western Uttar Pradesh, is likely to
part of the cycle stuck large part of Indian Sub- receive higher rainfall than last year, at 100% its 50-
continent, then it will be severe disaster for large year average. Rainfall is likely to be 99% of the
number of rural people of India. Immediate long-period average (LPA) for central India,
National Water Policy followed with River basin comprising Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, and
level participatory Water Management can save us 93% in the north-east. However, the southern
from that critical situation. peninsula consisting of Karnataka, Telangana,
growing
states
such
as
Punjab,
Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and parts of
NEWS
Maharashtra may receive 95% of LPA, which is
lower than last year.
IMD Monsoon Forecast Till Mid July Most of the states are receiving on an
According to the India Meteorological Department average normal to excess rainfall. During June
(IMD), India is likely to receive normal rainfall Gujrat particularly Sourastra Region received
during the four months of the southwest monsoon deficient rainfall, when North-East and Gangetic
season this year. IMD has forecast a normal West Bengal received excess rainfall during that
monsoon in 2018, with rainfall likely to be 97% of period.
the long-term average.
A normal south-west
Flood in the North East India
monsoon is good news not just for farmers but also
for sectors that gain when the rural economy is in In June 2018 different parts of North East India
good health. As per Skymet there is only 20 per witness heavy spell of monsoon rains. This is
cent chance of above normal monsoon rains, 20 followed by devastating floods and landslides.
per cent chance of below normal rains and zero per Thousands of people have lost their shelter, land
cent chance of a drought, it added. June would and livelihood. In the second week of June alone,
record excess rainfall, July is likely to be normal over 2 lakh* people from Assam, Manipur, Tripura
and August below normal. Rainfall activity will and Mizoram have been affected. Flood water has
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Integrated River Basin Management Society