FEAS Yearbook FEAS Yearbook 2012 | Page 57

FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES ANNUAL REPORT JUNE 2012 EGYPTIAN EXCHANGE CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN 2011 The year 2011 was considered a remarkable year in the history of the Egyptian capital market, after few years of overcoming a number of crises that hardly knocked other markets, this year the Egyptian Exchange faced both internal and external tensions. On the internal level, the year started with the 25th of January revolution, toppling down the old regime. A transitional phase started which lead the economy to retreat to one of its worst levels ever. The economic growth plummeted to its lowest levels with a notable aggravating budget deficit due to the declining revenues and increased spending in line with the fears of diminishing reserves. This in turn led the foreign investment to hit its lowest levels within seven years to record US$ 2.2 billion on FY 2010/2011. In addition, Egypt’s Government bonds credit rating was downgraded four times within one year. On the external level, the situation was not very different; with the heightening of the economic crisis attributable to the deterioration of the debt pinch in the U.S. and the downgrading of its credit worthiness. Moreover, the US debt crisis spread in other countries, especially in Europe, representing a real threat to the global financial system and running the risk of downward spiral of uncertainty and financial instability. Meanwhile, fears of a global recession, lingers over, tumbling the global markets performance sharply. With EGX recording year-on-year losses of around 50%, however, a large part of the losses has been recorded prior to the 28th of January. The market lost 21% in January, while in the following 9 months; post the revolution, the market lost around 30%. Worth mentioning, after the revolution EGX performance mimicked that of global capital markets which were affected by the global crisis. And due to political unrest and the banking sector instability at the time, EGX was forced to suspend trading to provide the legal entities the proper time to undertake the necessary measures for preventing the outflow of capital involved in illegal acts. Legislative Amendments to Increase Market Depth During 2011, EFSA and EGX management focused on the legislative side in order to achieve greater market protection. The year started with precautionary measures which largely contributed to minimizing the market decline after re-opening. EFSA has undertaken several precautionary measures for trading resumption on EGX to assure the highest level of protection for investors’ rights. First, the price limits on the listed shares were amended, according to which trading is suspended on a stock for half an hour after a 5% change, and is fixed and trading will continue till the end of the trading session after a 10% change. Moreover, EFSA approved several important amendments including the adjustment of the specialized activities standards (margin trading, short selling and intraday trading) to include larger number of listed companies, the listing rules with regards to initial public offerings, treasury stocks and enforcing companies to release their shareholders structure and a preliminary approval on the rules governing the issuance and trading of sukuk in an attempt to develop new investment tools to attract more investments to the Egyptian capital market. Furthermore, intraday trading rules have been altered to be re-activated after being hindered post the revolution. Despite the hard circumstances Egypt is witnessing, EGX played a leading role in financing companies. Year 2011 witnessed the listing of 9 companies, 4 in the main market and 5 in NILEX with a total value of LE 558.6 million vs. 16 companies, with a total LE 1.9 billion in 2010. The total value of raised capital reached LE 7 billion during 2011, with 7 companies increasing their capital through SPOs with a value of LE 2.32 billion, 20 companies through stock dividends worth LE 2.9 billion, while the remaining took place through cash, Mergers & Acquisitions, Swaps…. etc. Due to the internal pressures and the aggravation of the global crisis, foreign investments in the Egyptian market recorded an outflow of LE 4.3 billion during 2011. Despite this efflux, the Egyptian market is still maintaining strong foreign investments, where the outflow in 2011 represents less than half of the net Non-Arab foreign inflow in 2010 (more than LE 8.4 billion), and less than 12% of the net Non-Arab foreign inflow during the past 5 years (around LE 33 billion). Nonetheless, the out flow is considered moderate, as it represents less than half of the non-Arab foreign inflows in the Egyptian market during 2010 (LE 8.4 billion). Moreover, European investments dominated foreign investments on EGX in 2011, capturing around 49% of the total foreign investments, after excluding deals. USA & Canada investments accounted for 27% of the foreign investments, while 18% were owed to Arab Investments. The Egyptian market was dominated by Institutions, accounting for 59% of the value traded during 2011, as opposed to 52% during 2010. In addition, individuals accounted for 41% of the value traded during 2011, as opposed to 48% during the previous year. The Egyptian Market Remains One of the Most Attractive Markets in the Region According to Standard and Poor’s, the Egyptian market is considered one of the most attractive markets in the Middle East and Africa Region recording a PE of 10.47 vs. 15.86 for the region. Meanwhile, the market recorded a high DY of 10.40% vs. an average DY for the region of 3.58% by the end of December 2011. Due to the transitional phase events which coincided with the global crisis, average daily trading recorded around LE 716 million in 2011 declining from LE 1.3 billion in 2010. Noteworthy, the last quarter of the year witnessed a sharp decline in the average daily trading to record LE 255 million. On the other side and despite the harsh economic conditions, 79% of the listed companies attained profits during the first half of the year. Similarly, in NILEX, 15 companies recorded a net profit during the first half. Absolute Reform to NILEX Listing, Trading and Disclosure Rules took place this year to re-direct NILEX to its primary goal as a gateway for financing SMEs’ to grow. Listing rules have been amended to ensure the presence of promising companies with organized plans to increase their capital. Additionally, trading rules. Key Information Contacts Ministry of Finance www.mof.gov.eg Ministry of Investment www.investment.gov.eg Central Bank of Egypt www.cbe.org.eg Egyptian Financial Supervisory Authority www.efsa.gov.eg Misr for Clearing, Depository and Central Registry www.mcsd.com.eg SMEs Market (NILEX) www.nilex.egyptse.com PAGE 55