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coverstory_cover story 09/05/2014 18:46 Page 4 – and because its benefits are significant, we are seeing the industry trying to make DOCSIS 3.1 happen faster, not slower. Some of the ongoing work is around how to simplify and coordinate the specific DOCSIS 3.1 launch configurations across multiple operators to allow a faster market introduction.” “The decision to adapt to DOCSIS 3.1 will largely be a business decision by the respective operator who will have to decide if they want to make the investment to go to DOCSIS 3.1 or not,” advises Celebi. “While we see no technical hurdles for the general roll out of the standard, there are always issues surrounding availability of the chipsets. Outside of this, there is no reason why the standard should not be incorporated if the business case stacks up.” Elemental’s Nemeth suggests that DOCSIS 3.1 will mostly be used for expanding bandwidth through the use of QAM bonding. “So roll-out will be largely driven by increased bandwidth requirements.” UNCLEAR. Although implementation timescales remain unclear, should the industry be looking ahead to the next iterations of DOCSIS and HEVC? Baumann and Reinart agree that it is a general truth that all of our technology cycles are accelerating, “but given that we are at the very early stages of both DOCSIS 3.1 and HEVC, we probably shouldn’t expect to see the next iterations of these standards begin to materialise before 2017 or 2018,” they say. “Because these infrastructure components touch every aspect of delivery, it’s important for developers to start building in support early on,” suggests Dale, noting that Kaltura has already begun testing HEVC and 4K delivery in the context of content partners targeting delivery to specific 4K devices. “H.264 has been around for 11 years. I think we can expect a similar long device upgrade cycle for 4K and for new generation video codecs to become universally available,” he says. According to Trow, for DOCSIS, the major issue is pushing RF deeper into the network to take advantage of the advanced modulation schemes offered by DOCSIS 3.1. “Such distributed access architectures will allow the benefits of higher order modulation schemes to be deployed. Future standardisation work may include further systemising a distributed architecture, something that is vendor specific at the “It would be easy to say that 4K is the main driver for HEVC.” Damien Lucas, ANEVIA technology as well.” Answering in the affirmative, Dale, says it is important to note that DOCSIS 3.0 is already widely deployed, and already supports speeds of up to 1 Gbps, “but you don’t see many cable operators selling these types of speeds today,” he notes, adding that there are additional business impediments that have slowed the widespread support for ultra-broadband speeds. “Beyond technical availability, and spectrum assignment on cable lines, which needs to be refuted with both 3 and 3.1 DOCSIS, the slow adoption of fast Internet is largely related to the local monopolies that don’t face significant competition or customers that don’t see value in additional bandwidth,” he advises. Trow suggests such delays are driven by availability of silicon for both consumer devices and head-end infrastructure. “Once available, silicon will allow the use of higher order modulation schemes, enabling operators to get more out of existing frequency allocations. It is expected that commercial products