2019
FACILITIES &
CONSTRUCTION BRIEF
An Overview of the Education
Construction Scene
Reprinted with permission from our media
partners at SPM and CPM based on
available data and a survey of their readers.
GROWTH BY NUMBER (2017 to 2018)
CHANGES IN POPULATION
AFFECT ENROLLMENT
State 2018 Population Growth
Texas 28,701,845 379,128
POPULATION CHANGE Florida 21,299,325 322,513
•
•
•
• California 39,557,045 157,696
7,171,646 122,770
10,383,620 112,820
7,535,591 110,159
Georgia 10,519,475 106,420
Colorado 5,695,564 79,662
South Carolina 5,084,127 62,908
Nevada 3,034,392 61,987
One birth every 8 seconds
One death every 11 seconds
One international migrant (net) every 34 seconds
Net gain of one person every 19 seconds
Arizona
North Carolina
States in the South and West continued to lead in population growth.
Nationally, the U.S. population grew by 0.6 percent. Nevada and Idaho
were the fastest-growing states, both increasing by about 2.1 percent. In
addition, Utah grew by 1.9 percent, Arizona by 1.7 percent, and Florida
and Washington by 1.5 percent. Nine states lost population last year.
New York had the largest numeric decline, losing 48,510 people. Texas
had the largest numeric growth over the last year, with an increase of
379,128 people.
ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS
Washington
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
DEGREE-GRANTING POSTSECONDARY
ELEMENTARY AND SECONDARY
Total public and private elementary and secondary school enrollment
was 56 million in fall 2014, the last year of actual public school data.
Between fall 2014, and fall 2026, an increase of 3 percent is expected.
Public school enrollments are projected to be higher in 2026 than in
2014 for the South and West, and to be lower for the Northeast and
Midwest.
• E
nrollment in prekindergarten through grade 8 is projected to
increase 2 percent between 2014 and 2026.
• E
nrollment in grades 9-12 is projected to increase 2 percent between
2014 and 2026.
• Public elementary and secondary enrollment is projected to increase 3
percent nationally, reflecting a 5-percent decrease in the Northeast, a
3-percent decrease in the Midwest, an 8-percent increase in the South and
a 4-percent increase in the West.
Total enrollment in degree-granting institutions is expected to increase 13
percent between fall of 2015, the last year of actual data, and fall 2026.
• Enrollment in degree-granting postsecondary institutions of students
who are 18 to 24 years old is projected to increase 17 percent between
2015 and 2026.
• Enrollment in degree-granting postsecondary institutions of students
who are 25 to 34 years old is projected to increase 11 percent between
2015 and 2026.
• Enrollment in degree-granting postsecondary institutions of students
who are 35+ years old is projected to increase 4 percent between 2015
and 2026.
• Enrollment of males in degree-granting postsecondary institutions is
projected to increase 11 percent between 2015 and 2026 to 9.7 million.
• Enrollment of females in degree-granting postsecondary institutions is
projected to increase 15 percent between 2015 and 2026 to 13 million.
ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS (In Thousands)
Year
All
pK-12
2006 73,066 55,307
pK-12: Public
pK-12: Private
Degree-Granting
Postsecondary
Total pK-8 9-12 Total pK-8 9-12 Total Public Private
49,316 34,235 15,081 **5,991 **4,631 **1,360 17,759 13,180 4,579
2011 75,800 54,790 49,522 34,773 14,749 5,268 3,977 1,291 21,011 15,116 5,894
*2016 76,044 55,859 50,625 35,514 15,111 5,234 3,918 1,316 20,185 14,844 5,341
*2021 77,875 56,216 51,152 35,639 15,513 5,064 3,855 1,210 21,659 15,910 5,749
*2026 79,465 56,834 51,738 36,362 15,376 5,096 3,942 1,154 22,263 16,642 5,990
*Projected; ** Estimated
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Projections of Education Statistics to 2026. Note: Projections do not assume changes in policies or attitudes that may affect enrollment levels.
20 essentials | summer 2019