EMIS Emerging Market Information Service India Retail Sector | Page 6

Main Sector Indicators Main Retail Sector Indicators FY 2001 FY 2012 FY 2021 National GDP, USD bn 450 1,958 3,310 Estimated Merchandise Consumption (Retail Market Opportunity), USD bn 120 490 810 Urban consumption (% and value) 40% (USD 48 bn) 48% (USD 235 bn) 56% (USD 455 bn) Rural consumption (% and value) 60% (USD 72 bn) 52% (USD 255 bn) 44% (USD 355 bn) Share of Corporatized (Organized) Retail ~4% ~7% ~20% Share of Independent Retail 96% 93% 80% Size of Corporatized (Organized) Retail, USD bn 5 34 162 Size Of Independent Retail (USD bn) 115 455 648 Share of Indian Corporatized Retailers in Total Corporatized Retail ~100% ~95% 50% Comments India is home to approximately 15 million shops, the majority of which are run as standalone entities owned and operated by members of the same family. Employment in this segment, referred to as independent retail, averages 1.5 employees per shop. These employees have no social security and no say on working conditions and wages, Technopak commented in an Oct 2012 paper on FDI in the Indian retail sector. Independent retail is expected to create more than nine million jobs over the next decade. Therefore, a labor policy that manages to bring this large informal workforce in an environment of formal employment is much needed. Source: Technopak Analysis Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2013 Internet Securities, Inc. (trading as ISI Emerging Markets), all rights reserved. -6-