EMIS Emerging Market Information Service India Retail Sector | Page 5

Retail Sector Highlights Importance of Retail In FY 2012, organized retail represented some 8% of the USD 430 bn Indian retail industry, CRISIL said in Sep 2012. The total retail sector accounted for some 25% of GDP, while organized retail contributed some 2%, Technopak figures showed. The food and grocery segment accounted for more than half of the retail market, but claimed organized retail sales of between 2% (CRISIL) and 11% (Deloitte). The retail sector is one of the biggest employers in India with a nearly 24-million workforce, Technopak said. The country was the world’s 12th-largest consumer durables market in FY 2012 and is forecast to rank fifth-largest by FY 2025, IBEF said in Aug 2013. FDI Policy In Aug 2013, the Indian government relaxed the rules for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in multi-brand retail in an attempt to woo investors, as no foreign multi-brand retailer has set up shop in India since 51% FDI in multi-brand retail was first permitted in the country in Sep 2012. FDI in multibrand retail is a state subject and as per the policy, e-commerce is not allowed as an alternate channel as it can serve the customer beyond the physical location of the store, Deloitte India commented. Political changes in the state and central governments and the USD/INR currency fluctuation pose risks to foreign investment in retail in India. Challenges States in India differ in terms of culture, language, socio-economic development and spending power, so international retailers would need to customize their offerings to suit regional tastes, Deloitte India said. The choice of real estate suitable for large retail operations is very limited, which will be a major challenge to the corporatized retail’s ability to grow, Technopak pointed out. Real estate limitations may also give a boost to informal retail channels. To meet the FDI policy guidelines on sourcing and improve margins, foreign retailers would need to work with local manufacturers to create India-specific private label brands. Way Ahead Domestic retailers should focus on expanding their footprint not only in metropolitan areas, but also in towns with population of less than one million. Although foreign retailers have been allowed to operate in smaller cities since Aug 2013, they may reasonably be expected to prefer larger ones, leaving smaller urban and rural areas to domestic companies. While foreign retailers hunt for suitable retail spaces, domestic ones can apply accommodation flexibility and use their exclusive insight into the Indian consumption patterns to gain an edge over their global competitors. Issues that both local and foreign retailers will face include transportation and electricity supply challenges as well as finding skilled manpower. Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2013 Internet Securities, Inc. (trading as ISI Emerging Markets), all rights reserved. -5-