Economic Overview and Outlook for the Montgomery Metropolitan Area June 2014 | Page 7

Economic Overview and Outlook for the Montgomery Metropolitan Area Sales Tax Collections TABLE 16: HOUSING PRICE INDEX, 2004-13 Metro Anniston-Oxford-Jacksonville Auburn-Opelika Birmingham-Hoover Daphne-Fairhope-Foley Decatur Dothan Florence-Muscle Shoals Gadsden Huntsville Mobile Montgomery Tuscaloosa HPI 153.35 160.58 159.28 171.79 151.71 156.79 151.2 175.88 156.22 155.09 139.83 176.3 Table-17 and Table-18 show the sales tax collections during the last five years. All four counties in the Montgomery metro have shown continuous increases in sales tax collections. TABLE 17: MONTGOMERY METRO-SALES TAX COLLECTIONS Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Permits for multi-unit housing took a huge dip from 521 units in 2010 to only 110 units in 2013. Montgomery $65,189,045 $65,904,429 $68,684,023 $72,291,153 $74,631,089 COUNTIES Elmore Autauga $9,782,503 $4,889,444 $10,069,249 $5,044,826 $10,367,277 $5,479,507 $10,607,742 $5,539,406 $10,894,388 $5,664,885 Lowndes $817,194 $833,428 $907,545 $937,219 $981,078 Table-18 compares the sales tax collections of the four cities and the town of Pike Road in the Montgomery metro. During 2013, Montgomery city collected $93.74 million in sales tax while Prattville city collected $19.88 million and Wetumpka collected almost $6 million. According to the Alabama Center for Real Estate (ACRE), the professional residential real estate community has a very optimistic outlook for spring 2014. All indicators are at the highest 2nd quarter levels and are above 50 indicating expected expansion. The availability of credit has also finally turned positive for the first time. TABLE 18: MONTGOMERY METRO-SALES TAX COLLECTIONS CIT IES/TOWN Year The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) publishes the Housing Price Index (HPI), a quarterly broad measure of the movement of single-family house prices. The data for Montgomery metro from 2010 to 2013 are shown in Table-15. 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 The FHFA HPI for Montgomery in Q4-2013 is still very close to the recession low. The data of building permits and the inventory of unsold homes do not forecast any sustainable increase in home prices in the near future. Montgomery Prattville Wetumpka Millbrook Pike Road $83,181,972 $86,585,678 $88,105,849 $92,398,637 $93,737,756 $11,177,267 $14,022,593 $15,451,354 $19,245,260 $19,884,845 $5,404,427 $5,350,354 $5,413,477 $5,656,595 $5,973,806 $4,940,940 $5,241,770 $5,345,463 $5,680,410 $5,767,380 $1,604,660 $ 1,937,269 $1,656,701 $1,763,512 $1,915,702 The decision of Prattville to increase the sales tax to 9.5% effective May 1, 2011, has had a dramatic impact on its sales tax collections. The city may not need this level of sales tax until September 30, 2031, to pay off its long-term bond debt. The FHFA HPI in Q4-2013 for all the 12 metro areas in Alabama are shown in Table-16 . Montgomery had the lowest HPI in Q4-2013 among all metros in Alabama. Compared to other metro areas in Alabama, housing prices in Montgomery are a bargain. Sales tax is a regressive tax, and Montgomery city at 10% has the second-highest sale tax rate in Alabama. Wetumpka at 8% has one of the lowest sales tax rates in Alabama. The sales tax rate in the city of Birmingham and the city of Huntsville is 9%. 7 Montgomery city has the 2nd highest sales tax rate in Alabama while Wetumpka has one of the lowest sales tax rate in the state.