FROM THE COVER
quality of life , said Viktoria Riiman , socioeconomic analyst at the university .
Taken together , metro-area counties are expected to grow 16.2 percent by 2040 , with an average decline of 3 percent everywhere else during the same time period .
Looking at the line-up of 10 largest counties in 2010 and 2040 :
• Limestone County is projected as the biggest mover , jumping from No . 16 to No . 9 and knocking Etowah County out of the top 10 .
• Jefferson County will stay on top ; Madison County will leapfrog to No . 2 over Mobile County .
• Unprecedented growth in the Daphne-Fairhope-Foley area will help Baldwin County advance three notches to the No . 4 spot .
• With continued growth , Shelby County is projected to hold steady as the fifth-largest .
The 2010 Census indicated that only Greene County numbered fewer than 10,000 people . By 2040 , it is expected to remain the smallest , with four others ( Lowndes , Perry , Coosa and Wilcox counties ) also dipping below the 10,000 mark .
Focusing back on the statewide picture for a moment , total population is expected to grow 3-4 percent per decade , which is similar to Alabama ’ s pattern in the 1980s . In contrast , Alabama ’ s growth in the 1990s came in at about 10 percent , dropping to 7.5 percent in the 2000s , researchers said .
According to Riiman ’ s analysis , three big
factors driving these upcoming years of slow growth are declining births , more people leaving Alabama than are moving in and aging baby boomers . n
GET IN THE GAME
Wednesday , Aug . 23 “ BY THE NUMBERS : IMPACT OF COUNTY POPULATION SHIFTS ”
Sonny Brasfield , ACCA Executive Director
Afternoon General Session
Public Finance , Tax Incentives and Credit Markets Group
SALUTES THE ASSOCIATION OF COUNTY COMMISSIONS OF ALABAMA
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ABBEVILLE , AL • 809 Columbia Road ................................( 334 ) 585-5525 ANDALUSIA , AL • 16607 US Hwy 84 .................................( 334 ) 222-3294 AUBURN , AL • 1780 East Glenn Avenue ...........................( 334 ) 502-2488 BRUNDIDGE , AL • 8285 Hwy 231 ........................................( 334 ) 735-2383 CLANTON , AL • 1009 7th Street South .............................( 205 ) 755-0475 DEMOPOLIS , AL • 1181 Macnamara Road .....................( 334 ) 289-5966 DOTHAN , AL • 168 Ross Clark Circle Ste 2 ......................( 334 ) 794-0691 FOLEY , AL • 14733 State Hwy 59N .......................................( 251 ) 943-5091 MOBILE , AL • 8420 Tanner Williams Road .......................( 251 ) 649-3892 MONTGOMERY , AL • 1975 Forbes Drive ........................( 334 ) 834-6340 SAMSON , AL • 3 West Main Street ....................................( 334 ) 898-7156 TUSCALOOSA , AL • 3610 Skyland Blvd . East .................( 205 ) 556-7700
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