Community Bankers of Iowa Monthly Banker Update February 2014 | Page 17

(Rural Mainstreet continued from previous page) S.D., said, “There is major concern for the coming year on ag cash flow because of low corn prices and high corn inventory.” Home and Retail Sales: The January home-sales index fell below growth neutral to 49.3 from December’s 53.1 and November’s even stronger 56.2. The January retail-sales index sank to a fragile 46.2 from December’s much healthier 54.7. “Higher mortgage rates and lower agriculture commodity prices cooled rural housing and retail sales strength significantly,” said Goss. Each month, community bank presidents and CEOs in nonurban, agriculturally and energy-dependent portions of a 10-state area are surveyed regarding current economic conditions in their communities and their projected economic outlooks six months down the road. Bankers from Colorado, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming are included. The survey is supported by a grant from Security State Bank in Ansley, Neb. This survey represents an early snapshot of the economy of rural, agriculturally and energy-dependent portions of the nation. The Rural Mainstreet Index (RMI) is a unique index covering 10 regional states, focusing on approximately 200 rural communities with an average population of 1,300. It gives the most current real-time analysis of the rural economy. Goss and Bill McQuillan, former chairman of the Independent Community Banks of America, created the monthly economic survey in 2005. Colorado: For the 16th straight month, Colorado’s Rural Mainstreet Index (RMI) remained above 50.0, though it slipped to 51.0 from 55.6 in December. The farmland and ranchlandprice index tumbled to 41.0 from December’s much stronger 69.4. Colorado’s hiring index for January fell to 51.4 from December’s 58.7. Illinois: After moving above growth neutral for 15 straight months, the RMI for Illinois declined to 49.7 for January and was down from December’s 54.1. The Illinois farmland-price index plunged to 31.7 from December’s 47.3. The state’s new-hiring index fell to 44.0 from 48.9 in December. Iowa: The January RMI for Iowa declined to 50.8 from December’s 55.3. The farmland-price index for January sank to 38.1 from December’s 52.3. Iowa’s new-hiring index for January (Rural Mainstreet continued on next page) Tables 1 and 2 summarize survey findings Next month’s survey results will be released on the third Thursday of the month, Feb. 20. Table 1: Rural Mainstreet Economy Last Two Months and One Year Ago: (index > 50 indicates expansion) January 2013 December 2013 January 2014 Area economic index 55.6 56.1 50.8 Loan volume 39.0 66.7 57.8 Checking deposits 78.1 66.0 68.2 Certificates of deposit and savin