Community Bankers of Iowa Monthly Banker Update February 2014 | Page 16

Creighton Main Street Economic Survey U N I V E R S I T Y Ernie Goss Weak 2014 Start for Rural Mainstreet Economy: Farmland Price Index Lowest Since 2009 January Survey Results at a Glance: • Rural Mainstreet Index indicates much weaker growth for January. • Farmland price index sinks to lowest level since October 2009. • Farm equipment sales index down for the seventh straight month. • Almost 80 percent of bank CEOs expect EPA’s cut in the 2014 ethanol blending level to negatively affect the economy. • Approximately 62.5 percent of bankers recommend ending extended unemployment insurance benefits immediately. For Immediate Release: Jan. 16, 2014 OMAHA, Neb. – Growth for the Rural Mainstreet economy plummeted, according to the January survey of bank CEOs in a 10-state area. Overall: The Rural Mainstreet Index (RMI), which ranges between 0 and 100, with 50.0 representing growth neutral, fell to 50.8 from December’s much healthier to 56.1. “The overall index for the Rural Mainstreet Economy continues to indicate that the areas of the nation highly dependent on agriculture and energy continue to expand at a positive but slower pace. Over the past year, corn, soybean and wheat prices have declined by 41 percent, 10 percent and 16 percent, respectively. Weaker farm prices are clearly negatively influencing the rural economy. Additionally, almost 80 percent of bank CEOs expect the EPA’s cut in ethanol blending level to negatively affect the Rural Mainstreet economy,” said Ernie Goss, the Jack A. MacAllister Chair in Regional Economics at Creighton University. Farming and Ranching: The farmland and ranchland-price index plunged to 43.8, its