Commercial Investment Real Estate Summer 2020 | Page 11

SENIORS HOUSING RESPONDS TO MOUNTING PRESSURE FROM PANDEMIC MIXED-USE DEVELOPMENTS CAN KEEP IT LOCAL SUPPLY CHAIN REACTS TO SOCIAL DISTANCING SELF-STORAGE WEATHERS EARLY COVID-19 STORM This page, left to right: Cecilie Arcurs, Nirian, 1933bkk, Owaki Kulla Plenty of media attention has focused on COVID-19’s increased mortality rate in older individuals. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates nearly 80 percent of deaths in the U.S. occur in people aged 65 or older. These numbers are harrowing for owners, operators, and employees at seniors housing facilities. Due to the increased costs and an expected decline in occupancy, the sector is looking at real-time data to help forecast the continued impact of the pandemic. Ventas, a Chicago-based real estate investment trust that’s among the country’s largest holders of seniors housing, announced rent deferrals for some of its operators in April. Such actions could be much-needed relief to struggling facilities, though Ventas noted deferrals will only be offered to locations that do not receive government assistance. “There are now strong indications that tours and moveins are beginning to slow,” Ventas said in a recent statement. Two executives with Gensler, J.F. Finn and Duncan Paterson, believe mixed-use developments could see a boost in light of social and economic changes. The pair write how microgrids can improve efficiencies for self-sustaining districts. A localized energy source improves flexibility and decreases waste. Additionally, mixed-use spaces encourage shared environments that can provide an array of products and services safely and efficiently. Inhabitants, the pair write, will be closer to health services in a self-contained area, while such a hyperlocal arrangement may improve a sense of community. “This means that both the physical construction — the infrastructure, systems, and assemblage of uses — and the human places — the public spaces, communal areas, and places for dynamic collision — can create the kinds of extraordinary places that provide the maximum return on capital and human investment,” the two write. Distribution centers have been critical in maintaining the supply chain for necessary goods in the U.S. But with economic uncertainty tied to public health challenges, social distancing within distribution centers is crucial to ensure employee safety and continued operation. Cushman & Wakefield released guidelines for distribution centers to improve social distancing, with tips to stagger work shifts, reconfigure common areas, and discontinue large team meetings. The report also outlined three long-term changes to balance worker health and operational efficiency: • Implement worker temperature checks and illness screening. • Adjust layout of workspaces inside warehouse facilities to give employees more horizontal and/or vertical space to improve social distancing. • Explore accelerated adoption of new technology and innovative use of existing technology. The self-storage industry is often insulated from large economic disturbances, with many tenants renting spaces for years, despite the month-to-month structure of leases. March, according to statistics from Yardi Matrix, was a positive month for the sector, with demand improving amid the fallout from the COVID-19 crisis. National rental rates for a typical 10-foot-by-10-foot, non-climate-controlled (NCC) unit remained flat year-overyear, at $116. Performance varied greatly regionally in the U.S., however, with Minneapolis seeing rates drop by 7 percent for 10-by-10 NCC units, while rates increased in Las Vegas, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. Self-storage properties under construction or in planning represent 8.9 percent of total inventory, which is a large increase from the previous year. But in light of recent economic instability, Yardi Matrix projects deliveries to market will drop by 40 percent in the next five years. CIREMAGAZINE.COM COMMERCIAL INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE MAGAZINE 9