China Policy Journal Volume 1, Number 1, Fall 2018 | Page 32

Assessing the Implementation of Local Emission Trading Schemes in China 1. Introduction The strong interest in using “New Environmental Policy Instruments”(NEPIs)—including economic instruments that emphasize market incentives and suasive instruments that encourage voluntary environmental changes, in contrast to traditional direct government command and control (GCAC) approaches, has been prevalent in developed countries since 1980s, with numerous academic studies on their implementation and effectiveness. However, there is a lack of evidence illustrating the complexity in the design and implementation of NE- PIs in developing countries with limited monitoring and enforcement resources. More and more scientific evidence shows that greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions contribute to the global climate change, and emission trading scheme (ETS) is an important policy instrument for reducing GHG emissions that the Kyoto Protocol suggested. ETS has been used for emission abatement at the international level such as the European Union (EU) ETS, at the country level such as the South Korea ETS, and at the regional level such as the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative. Between 2013 and 2014, seven domestic pilots of ETS were established in China, including two provincial level ETSs and five city level ETSs. Since the end of 2017, China has started to establish the national ETS. Experiences from the pilots become important references for the national ETS. Following the polluter-pay principle, ETS creates a market for carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emission allowances to encourage the internalization of emission abatement costs. If the market functions well, the emission allowance price can reflect the marginal cost of emission abatement and encourage enterprises to adopt low-carbon technologies. One of the major implementation concerns is that targeting enterprises fail to respond in ways anticipated by policymakers due to low economic incentives (Weaver 2010). In practice, the emission allowance price tends to be low and volatile, hardly reflecting the real abatement cost. For instance, the carbon price of EU-ETS once decreased to almost zero in its first carbon trading period from 2005 to 2007 (Alberola, Chevallier, and Chèze 2008). In those cases, industrial participants would have little incentives to adopt costly environmental measures to reduce CO 2 emissions internally. China is the largest emitter of CO 2 emissions, mainly caused by its enormous size of population and economy, and the high share of coal (more than 60%) in its energy mix (Olivier et al. 2015). Although China has no compulsory GHG reduction obligation in the Kyoto Protocol, it has committed to achieving intensity-based targets partly in response to increasing international pressures that proceeded the Copenhagen negotiation. As its INDC for the Paris Agreement, China promised to reduce its CO 2 emission intensity by 60%–65% by 2030 in relative to 2005 (NDRC of China 2015). To achieve the national CO 2 emission reduction target, China has used many policy instruments and ETS is one of the most important ones. 29