Automotive Business Review September | Page 82

by Frank Beeton M oving atters Frank Beeton scans the transport world for news pertinent to the Logistics Sector. Low BRT Patronage Raises Questions about Metropolitan Transport In this column, we have frequently called for improved public passenger transport services in South Africa. We have also applauded the efforts being made by Gautrain and some metropolitan integrated bus networks to provide South African commuters with world-class services, often against considerable odds. The alternative, with unbridled continuing use of personal and low-capacity motor vehicles, is increased urban gridlock, which will not be to anyone’s advantage. moving matters W e must admit, however, to having been quite surprised by the South African Government’s embracing of Bus Rapid Transit as its preferred mode for improving public transport at street level. Much of this surprise came from the same government’s lack of commitment to safeguarding the interests of “ordinary” bus operators, in both the private and public sector, who have faced multiple obstacles in maintaining their share of the public transport “cake”. These include a long period of legislative uncertainty, and route predation from the Minibus Taxi industry, which, very frequently, seems to operate to its own set of rules. The BRT concept combines elements of bus and rail operation, putting large capacity buses and bus trains on reserved right-of-ways, and, by segregating them from normal traffic, allows them to operate at higher average speeds, and at more frequent headways. In the South African context, BRT buses also operate under a relaxed regulatory environment which permits greater axle massloads and increased lengths than those allowed for normal public service vehicles. Cynics may have come to the conclusion that the government was following its now well-established pattern of inventing something new, rather than fixing existing problems. By establishing a business model where Minibus Taxi owners were given some degree of ownership participation in the BRT systems, it sought to avoid the sort of interference and downright intimidation that has characterised taxi interaction with other transport modes in the past. BRT contracts based on compensation for distance-related operating costs, rather than passenger subsidies, also leave the choice of modes to the user, and insulate the authorities from any accusations of partiality. The first BRT system, Rea Vaya, started operating in Johannesburg in 2009, and has grown to 277 buses and two | logistics in action 80 routes at time of writing. However, in July, it was reported that average daily ridership, at 35 000 passengers, was well below the 102 000 daily passenger planning forecast for the existing network. The reasons suggested for the shortfall include fare evasion, passenger resistance to bank-based card fare payment, and disruption by driver strikes which have taken some passengers off the system for up to three months. Despite these setbacks, however, Johannesburg, has decided to push ahead with Phase 1C of the system, which will extend service coverage to Alexandra, Sandton, Ivory Park, Midrand, Sunninghill and possibly Randburg. These extensions are expected to add a further 200 000 daily riders to the system. Anecdotal evidence suggests that other South African cities are also having second thoughts on the BRT concept, and, in particular, its financial sustainability. While central government will continue to subsidise the construction of supporting infrastructure, the purchasing of rolling stock will, reportedly, be up to the metropolitan authorities in future. But the real problem is the sustainability of the systems if ridership is not up to expectation, as has been the Johannesburg experience. Specialised BRT buses are expensive to buy, and to operate, and the service levels which have been established will be difficult to maintain if revenue does not meet expectations. There have also been issues with the effective policing of the dedicated BRT bus lanes, which form an important element of the service level promised by the BRT concept. Minibus taxis reportedly dip in and out of these lanes at will, and there have been reports that certain politicians have been using them as convenient parking areas! Clearly, this will remain a major obstacle while the BRT lanes are not effectively sealed off from other traffic modes. Police officers cannot be expected to be present throughout the network at all times, september 2014