ARRC Journal 2018 | Page 70

ARRC JOURNAL Example 2 Forces on Russian Soil Fire into Ukraine – source: offiziere.ch 28th July 2014 Perhaps more interestingly, we also see the remnants of various firing positions located inside the Ukraine border (Figures 3 and 4). Blast marks or ground scarring depicted in imagery from 21 July is consistent with that from a multiple rocket launcher. Comments from US officials (24JUL14) suggest these may be from the BM-30 Smerch, a potent Multiple Rocket Launcher (MLR) consisting of 12 tubes for 300mm rockets. Additional BDA and the respective strike distances were provided in the imagery. Figure 1 – Russia self-propelled artillery distance from the Ukrainian target 8.5 miles Figures 1 and 2 are commercial satellite images showing some troubling developments on the border between Ukraine and Russia suggesting Russian military forces direct helping the separatists by firing at the Ukrainian military from Russian soil. may be the 2S1 or 2S3. It’s doubtful these are Russia’s more potent 2S19, as suggested by the size and shadow of the vehicles. Besides, Ukraine has 2S1s and 2S3s in abundance which could provide Russia cover for any accusations regarding outside material assistance. Though, that argument may be difficult to defend as Russia would have to explain why it allowed a separatist unit on its side of the border. Figure 3 – Multiple Rocket Launchers firing at Ukrainian Military Forces in Ukraine Figure 2 – Russian self-propelled artillery setup in unprepared firing positions This is explicitly depicted in imagery from 23 July (Figure 1 and 2) which shows self-propelled artillery setup in unprepared firing positions aimed at a nearby Ukrainian military unit. Accompanying this image was also a Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) showing the subsequent impact craters viewed right. The BDA was conducted comparing imagery between 20 and 23 July 2014 of the Ukrainian position. A quick geolocation of both units’ respective positions using Google Earth shows a distance of approximately 8.5 miles, well within the range of Russia’s self- propelled artillery. Despite the low fidelity of the imagery, those viewed above Figure 4 – Russian Multiple Rocket Launcher Strikes within Ukraine 70 ALLIED RAPID REACTION CORPS