Analytics Magazine Analytics Magazine, September/October 2014 | Page 11

predictive analytics is fast becoming a tool to recognize key trends, patterns and potential disruptions within supply chains. It’s a means to protect the enterprise’s most valuable assets while also creating sophisticated risk resilience and mitigation models. Exponential Benefits A recent PricewaterhouseCoopers survey indicates that over the next five years, the most innovative companies are set to grow at twice the pace of the global average and three times the rate of the least innovative. There’s a myriad of literature available about innovation, yet much is not particularly helpful because it tends to describe innovation as a single element. Quite the contrary, there are several different modes of innovation, and a company has to be clear about what it means when using the term. What kind of innovation is the company looking for? Innovation through the n+1 philosophy shows up everywhere in the form of this question: Is there a layer of data we’re not yet accessing that may drive us toward a better solution? One example can be found in catastrophe modeling. Historically, our business has tried to understand the probability of a range of perils, such as hurricanes. Companies need to understand both a hurricane’s location a na l y t i c s and intensity. But we’re also aware there have been changes in the composition of the atmosphere that potentially can lead to an extreme weather event, such as a hurricane. That said, if the temperature of the surface of the ocean correlates with the amount of energy that can affect the next hurricane developing at sea, a company can use new parameters, such as sea surface temperatures, in its analysis. That’s the +1 layer. And each layer can set the stage for yet another. So, meaningful innovation today applies n+1 as its foundation and embraces a comprehensive dialog with customers to make sure a company truly understands its customers’ emerging needs. From the strength of that relationship, a business tends to realize a viable product and associated revenue much faster. And the benefits just accrue from there: Rather than aiming to build the solution of all solutions, a business can produce more refined iterations – one at a time – and then enjoy the rewards of one success after another. ❙ Scott Stephenson is president and chief executive officer of Verisk Analytics. Subscribe to Analytics It’s fast, it’s easy and it’s FREE! Just visit: http://analytics.informs.org/ s e p t e m b e r / o c t o b e r 2 014 | 11