American Motorcycle Dealer AMD 250 May 2020 | Page 22

Question Marks Over Expos 22 Germany: Motorcycles -18.70% in March AMERICAN MOTORCYCLE DEALER - MAY 2020 In Q1 motorcycle market share terms, BMW is 'Top Dog' with a massive 28.99% share in its home market (8,778 units sold YTD), followed by Kawasaki, KTM, Honda, Yamaha, and Harley-Davidson in 6th spot (2,255 units sold YTD). The top selling model was BMW's R 1250 GS (3,028 units YTD), followed by the Kawasaki Z900, BMW R 1250 RS, Kawasaki Z650 and BMW S 1000 RR. A record 10 of the Top 20 best sellers were BMW models. Harley's best seller was the Street Bob, followed by the Sport Glide. For context - the German motorcycle market grew by +4.38% to 113,039 units in 2019, with PTW sales growing by +6.53% to 165,311 units - both the best performance since 2008 (excluding the rush to register pre-Euro 4 models before the law changed at the end of 2016). German registrations YTD 2019 2020 60,000 -2.52% 40,000 TOTAL PTW 20,000 -8.99% rest of 2020, and we have decided to make several key decisions in the wake of COVID-19 impacting public health, communities, the motorcycle industry and business on a global scale. "In the best interest of our employees and customers, the company will withdraw from global trade shows for the rest of the year, including INTERMOT in Cologne, Germany, and the EICMA exhibition in Milan, Italy." Hubert Trunkenpolz, CMO at KTM AG, said: "Trade shows are key business milestones for the entire motorcycle industry, but given the situation, public health and the welfare of our staff are higher priorities over the coming months. We have taken this course of action with a great deal of thought and, as a company, KTM AG would be pleased and interested if show promoters, EICMA in particular, would consider moving dates to 2021, when we hope and expect the situation to be settled and back to normal." While neither manufacturer specifically name-checked AIMExpo, planned for Columbus, Ohio, in September, they did both state, quite clearly, that they are withdrawing from ALL exhibitions. So those question marks must now hover over the USA's principal industry Expo too. Following what can only be described as a clarion call for Expo postponement by Trunkenpolz, other OEMs are highly likely to follow BMW's and KTM's lead in Europe, USA and elsewhere. The latest data from the IVM, the motorcycle industry trade association in Germany, shows motorcycle registrations down by -18.70% in March at 16,581 units, having been up 8.35% (20,394 units) in March 2019. The effects of the coronavirus pandemic have been less pronounced in Germany than elsewhere in Europe, both in terms of known cases and resulting deaths, as well as in the subsequent financial impacts. Indeed, as this edition of AMD went to press (16th April), Germany was one of the European markets already announcing some loosening of lockdown/shelter-in-place regulations. Having been +6.38% for January and February combined (13,698 units), Germany was -8.99% for Q1 (30,279 units YTD). In total PTW terms, Germany was -15.81% in March (22,987 units) and -2.52% for Q1 (43,114 units YTD). With the announcement that both BMW and KTM are to pull out of INTERMOT (Cologne, Germany, October) and EICMA (Milan, Italy, November), there are now serious question marks over whether or not either show will be able to go ahead. BMW is one of the senior members of the IVM, the German trade association that owns INTERMOT, and so is, in effect, one of the owners of INTERMOT. Koelnmesse, the Cologne exhibition centre where INTERMOT is staged, is not involved in the INTERMOT ownership equation. However, at this time, Koelnmesse is closed until further notice by its owners, the City of Cologne and the North Rhein-Westphalia state government. The Milan Rho exhibition centre that hosts EICMA every November is currently being used as a field hospital for the hard hit city of Milan and province of Lombardy. In their statement (April 2nd) BMW stated "this decision was made in order to counteract current planning uncertainty at an early stage" and "in the interests of the greatest possible security, predictability and transparency." BMW Motorrad will instead present the world premieres and product highlights planned for these motorcycle shows on alternative platforms in autumn 2020. In doing so, the company will increasingly rely on its own formats and digital communication channels. For BMW to announce it is withdrawing (also from EICMA/Milan) will be a serious body blow to both shows. BMW's absence will dramatically affect visitor numbers and result in an even greater reduction in aftermarket exhibitor vendor numbers than there has already been - especially those for whom BMW models represent the majority of their business, of which there are usually many at INTERMOT. KTM's announcement came 48 hours after BMW's, and it is hard to think that there wasn't coordination between the two manufacturers, who have a track record of working closely on strategic issues. Europe's largest motorcycle manufacturer by unit volume (over 280,000 in 2019), KTM said that it had "assessed their overall strategy for the As the global motorcycle industry continues to be in the grip of a medically induced coma, it is uncertainty that is the principal enemy in economic terms. Forecasts for unemployment rates and economic contraction vary wildly, reflecting a wide range of differences between those who think the economies of Europe and the United States could bounce back strongly in the second half of the year, and those who see longer and darker economic shadows being cast by the global pandemic. Either way, it is imperative that the right balance is struck between the apparently competing priorities of protecting public health and switching economic activity back on. The priority must be to protect public health first and foremost. That said, we all of us need to be able to get the best possible grasp on the timings of the options we'll each be faced with moving forward, so in addition to a modest round-up of current OE news, here is an insight into what has been happening to new motorcycle sales in Europe, and selected other news from the international powersports market that is of a more strategic nature... MOTORCYCLE www.AMDchampionship.com