African Mining February 2020 | Page 33

RISK MANAGEMENT  Ocean acidification is another interesting indicator, as the upper layer of the oceans absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, the acidity of surface ocean waters has increased by about 30%, and the amount of carbon dioxide being absorbed by the ocean is increasing by approximately 2 billion tons per year. The use of coal for power generation is claimed to be one of the biggest contributors to climate change. In Africa, and especially in South Africa, coal still forms the backbone of the energy sector and coal miners are of the opinion that developing countries will only grow if their economy is powered by coal. What is your opinion? How is climate change affecting our daily life and what is its most severe impact? (ER): South Africa recently released the Integrated Resource Plan, which foresees a situation in which coal will generate 60% of our electricity by 2030, down from 77% today. While this may not be considered by everyone as enough of a decrease, it is important that we engineer a ‘just transition’ away from coal and towards renewable sources. This shift needs to be well managed so that it avoids disastrous disruptions – either to electricity consumers, utility employees, or communities reliant on coal- fired power plants. (ER): Climate change impacts are already evident, as observed recently with the drought in the Western Cape and other regions within South Africa. Not only is the volume of rainfall affected but the epicentre of rainfall events can shift, altering the position of the catchment area. This had a drastic effect on residents and businesses, especially agricultural industries. Timing of rainfall can also affect crop growing cycles – and hence the prevailing market demand and prices that farmers can achieve. This could even render certain farming choices unviable, while creating opportunities for new crops. Food security could be compromised by these observed changes if we fail to adapt. How is climate change affecting the mining industry and its value chain? (AM): As climatic conditions change, mines are seeing impacts on the stability and effectiveness of their infrastructure and equipment, as well as on their environmental protection and site closure practices. Higher temperatures and water scarcity, for example, would complicate the operation and environmental rehabilitation of mine sites, and could cause direct competition (AM): The search for water can force populations to migrate, especially in rural areas, and this can lead to rivalry and conflict – as limited resources have to be shared. On a larger scale, migration across the world can result in global instability. Water scarcity in rural areas also results in increased urbanisation, which presents its own challenges. It is important to remember that impacts of water scarcity also tend to be immediate; people cannot wait long before they act if water runs out. It therefore becomes a crisis demanding urgent responses and solutions. The move to renewable energy holds many benefits for the country and society, not least in terms of air quality and health. Growth in the renewable sector will also bring its own opportunities in skills, technology and other aspects of its value chain. Although some places in the world have become hotter than the average, other regions in the world are experiencing higher snowfall. www. africanmining.co.za African Mining Publication African Mining African Mining  February 2020  31