World Food Policy Volume/Issue 2-2/3-1 Fall 2015/Spring 2016 | Page 105

World Food Policy of higher returns and consequently making them better off. Studies by De Janvry, Fafchamps, and Sadoulet (1991) and Kinsey, Burger, and Gunning (1998) indicate that income diversification is not only positively correlated with wealth but also with an increased ability to cope with shocks. Diversification is a way through which rural households insure themselves against the occurrence of such shocks, or, in other words, diversification reduces livelihood vulnerability. This self-insurance can also be seen as a negative function of the availability of social insurance, provided, for example, by the community or family. The better access to social networks and institutions, the less likely a household needs to apply self-insurance systems as the diversification of income portfolios. In contrast, social capital can also foster the ability to participate in many different income activities. This study aims to contribute to the literature of vulnerability to poverty by examining the relationship between a household’s diversity of income sources to nonagricultural activities and its transitions into and out of poverty. The main goal is to identify which households are more able to diversify income sources and if such income diversity makes the household better off or prevents it from falling into poverty. This study examines these research questions in the context of Vietnam, although the approach can be applied to other developing countries. Vietnam has been one of the most successful countries in the developing world in terms of economic growth and poverty reduction. The rapid economic growth, together with market liberalization and trade openness that took place during the last two decades, has lifted a large share of the population out of poverty (see Tran, Alkire, and Klasen 2015). Nonetheless, poverty is still a central issue in the country as nearly 43 percent of the population still lives on less than $2 a day (World Bank 2013), and many people earn their living by engaging in agricultural activities. Various population subgroups have benefited less from such development; households in rural areas have made slower progress than those in urban areas (see GSO 2011). This study uses three waves of a panel surveys from 2007, 2008, and 2010 of more than 2000 rural and periurban households from three provinces in Vietnam. The drivers of poverty transitions are investigated via descriptive statistics and empirical results from multinomial logit (MNL) models. The analyses are based on the hypothesis that a household that diversifies its income sources to nonagricultural activities finds it easier to escape poverty than a household that relies its income only on agricultural activities. The findings confirm that an increase in the share of nonagricultural income to total household income is correlated with the advancement of a household’s well being. This study is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the household panel data used in the analysis and presents the estimation strategy. Section 3 discusses the results of the MNL models that highlight the relationship between income diversification and household well-being. It also discusses the robustness of the estimation results. Finally, Section 4 concludes with the key messages of this paper. 105