World Food Policy Volume 2, Number 1, Spring 2015 | Page 29

World Food Policy Table 4: VA of the sector (current prices) agriculture and its linkages, 1986, 1996, 2003, and 2008 Participation in VA total (%) in year VA agriculture 1986 1996 2003 2008 7.49 3.72 3.07 2.53 Value of forward linkages 2.22 2.09 1.42 1.69 Value of backward linkages 0.71 0.78 0.73 0.55 Total 10.42 6.59 5.21 4.78 Source: Calculated by the authors (Central Bank data) and figures for 1986 and 1996 in Table 1 Anríquez, Foster, and Valdes (2005), figures for 2003 are Foster and Valdes (2013). Note: National Accounts before 2008 corresponds to area #1 (agriculture), #2 (fruit growing), and #3 (livestock). Agricultural sector for 2008 corresponds to the first nine sectors; annual crops, vegetable crops, cultivation of grapes, other fruit crops, cattle breeding, poultry farming, breeding other animals, and support activities to agriculture and livestock. Total represents the percentage of this component in the total VA of the economy.   As seen in Table 4, the share of primary agriculture declined from 7.5% in 1986 to 2.53% in 2008. The size of the forward linkages also declined from 2.2% to 1.69% of the value aggregate national total. On the VA of agriculture links below rose from 30%to 67%. Before the industry sold a higher proportion directly to consumers, while agriculture now sells more to processors and other sectors. It is emphasized that the backward links are smaller than the links below and have decreased compared to 1996 and 2003. In contrast, we examine the case of copper. In 1996, copper accounted for about 6% of GDP, while in 2003 it rose to 7.4%, growing faster than the rest of the economy. In 2008, the copper mining sector accounted for 14% of total VA of the country. What about the importance of the sector’s integration with the rest of the economy? In 1996 forward links accounted for only 0.13% of national GDP, and in 2008 these grew to 0.9%. This reflects the fact that this exportable, resource-based s ector is weakly linked to downstream processing. But in contrast to agriculture, the copper sectors links backward are relatively more important; in 2008 backward links represented 1.26% of national VA, reflecting primarily the demand for energy and commercial services. Overall, agriculture is more integrated with the rest of the economy than copper mining; the expanded value of the primary agricultural sector was 88% greater than the official VA, while the expanded VA of copper was only 15% higher than the official statistic. Primary agriculture is an important supplier of raw materials to other domestic sectors, while copper is much less. Table 5 presents the expanded VA agricultural sector disaggregating crops (referred to officially as “agriculture”), fruit, and livestock, and a new sector, support for agriculture and livestock, adding both the forestry and fishing sectors, which are relatively large in Chile. Adding forestry and fishing within the renewable resourced sector raises its share in total VA by 1.3% (0.82% forestry and 0.47% fishing). In terms of the expanded VA of renewable resource sector, the VA contribution almost doubles, from 3.82% to 6.41%. 28