World Food Policy Volume 2, Number 1, Spring 2015 | Page 25

World Food Policy slaughterhouse to delivery to wholesale), primary production of animals accounts for approximately 72% of the total cost. But fully 10% of these costs arise from transactions within the same meat sector, which implies that the primary sectors within “livestock” in reality account for 80% the total costs paid to external sectors. Implementing a policy that has a significant impact on the primary farm sector linked to raising livestock would also have a significant impact on the meat processing sector. Both stages are closely interrelated and policies affecting one affect the other, and in some case this interrelation can be highly important in terms of income. For example, in Argentina, beef export restrictions, while benefiting urban consumers, have very large welfare implications in rural areas, from the slaughterhouse to the ranch. The case of the wine industry is also an interesting illustration of the importance of farm sector linkages (Table 2b). The raw material (grapes) represents approximately 22% of the total cost of intermediate inputs in wine. But winemaking is declared outside of agriculture’s VA. Consequently, if agricultural policy encourages (or restricts) the expansion of the production of grapes for wine through support programs for irrigation, or genetic development, or via a reduction of tariffs on imports of agricultural inputs, etc., this policy decision has implications for the profitability and employment over a much larger sector than that indicated by the agricultural VA in national accounts. These linkages between the primary agriculture VA and the VA of other industries extends to canning, dairy, seed oils, sugar, wood processing, paper, ce llulose, and others. A proposed measure of linkages: adjusting for the relative importance of the primary sector in downstream and upstream activities O ne might be tempted, as has been done in some studies, to attribute to agriculture the entire VA of related sectors. A simple sum, however, of the VA of closely related activities would overestimate the role of domestic agriculture, because the VA of any sector could be attributable to contributions from multiple sectors. And other activities could claim the same linkages to agriculture. Furthermore, the ability to import agricultural products as inputs reduces the validity of attributing the VA of other sectors to domestic agriculture. For 2008, Table 3 presents this exercise, using 32 sectors within and closely related to the primary sectors making up “renewable resources.” The sum of shares of the various values added would reach 9.6% of total national VA, considerably higher than the 3.8% officially attributable to the 12 activities in the broader renewable resource sector. To estimate the linkages of agriculture to the national economy, unlike a simple sum of the added values of the other sectors, we propose a weighting scheme that takes the weight of the participation of the domestic primary sector in the VA of other sectors. The basic idea is to calculate an additional component which represents a fraction of the added values of other sectors. This proportion is determined by the dependence that each sector has on agriculture as input or as destination of 24