World Food Policy Volume 2, Number 1, Spring 2015 | Page 20

World Food Policy - Volume 2, Number 1 - Spring 2015 Measuring the Size of the Renewable Resource Sector: The Case of Chile William FosterA and Alberto ValdésA As a percentage of national gross domestic product (GDP), farming is typically small in middle-income and wealthier countries. But national accounts include only on-farm activities, giving both the public and policymakers an impression that the food sector is a minor actor in the economy. Much of past development literature, using household expenditures, considered that farming generated few positive externalities, with few backward and forward linkages to other sectors, inviting the conclusion that stimulating agriculture was a low priority to boost economic development, especially in Latin America. Using national accounts, this study employs a concept of an expanded value added to capture agricultures intersectoral linkages, yielding a more useful measure of sector size. In the case of Chile, the expanded primary sector’s contribution is approximately double that of simple national accounts, with forward links far exceeding backward. A more refined division of labor and economic specialization, perhaps enhanced by trade openness, appears to explain in part agriculture’s declining share in national GDP and the growth of sectoral linkages. Keywords: agricultural value added, national accounts, backward and forward linkages, Chile Introduction sector? Using the standardized format of national accounts, the share of production agriculture in the GDP or value added (VA) is the most direct measure of the sector’s size and its contribution to the larger economy. The definition of what is agriculture, however, has implications for interpreting this measure. In national accounts, agriculture is a primary industry, where productive activities take place on the farm, and the VA of activities—however simple but beyond the farm gate and which contribute to the value of agricultural products and employment—is attributed to other, nonagricultural sectors. O ur perception of the economic importance of the agriculture and food system is dominated by official statistics of the farm sector’s share in gross domestic product (GDP). With economic development, the apparent size of primary agriculture decreases, not only in relative terms but perhaps also in absolute terms, often leading many to lament that farming is in decline. But the interpretation of this apparent pattern requires thinking about the question, What is the real size of the agricultural A Department of Agricultural Economics, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile 19