Washington Business Winter 2015 | Page 28

washington business Consider the potential list of expenses: Education funding could cost $1.5 billion just to keep up with the requirements of the McCleary decision. Attempting to satisfy the requirements from Initiative 1351, the voterapproved class-size measure, would add billions more. And that doesn’t include the cost of building all the new schools that would be needed to accommodate new teachers. And then there is the cost of the various climate-related policies Gov. Jay Inslee is weighing. They include everything from a cap-and-trade system, a carbon tax and coal by wire, to carbon limits, clean energy regulations and new energy efficiency requirements. Transportation spending is sorely needed, along with accompanying reforms to the state Department of Transportation. The state ranks 36th in the nation for road conditions, 38th for statewide commute times and 41st for bridge conditions. But repairing Washington’s crumbling highways and neglected bridges will be expensive; finishing some of the major unfinished projects such as Highway 167 in Pierce County, Highway 509 in Seattle and the north-south corridor in Spokane will only increase the bill. Add to the mix the potential for costly new water quality regulations, possible cost-of-living raises for state employees, a likely renewal of the ongoing debate about eliminating tax incentives, and a raft of human resourcesrelated costs that are likely to be debated — a minimum wage hike, mandatory sick leave, mandatory vacation, mandatory 401(k) — and the total price tag for everything that could emerge from this year’s session is staggering. David Schumacher, director of the state Office of Financial Management, told AWB’s Government Affairs Council in November that the budget gap entering the 2015 session could be as high as $2.5 billion — even with an estimated $2.8 billion increase in revenue over the previous two-year budget. Weigh this against the list of policies that lawmakers are likely to consider to help employers and encourage economic growth and the contrast is stark indeed. One of the few possibilities is reinstating the tax incentive for research and development that expired at the end of 2014. The budget gap entering the 2015 session could be as high as $2.5 billion— even with an estimated $2.8 billion increase in revenue over the previous two-year budget. what employers are paying at a glance Washington’s economy is recovering from the recession, but the budget challenges facing the Legislature remain intense. In addition to satisfying the demands of the McCleary ruling, lawmakers and Gov. Jay Inslee are expected to debate expensive climate policy initiatives, water quality rules, transportation funding and a multitude of human resources-related proposals, everything from raising the minimum wage and requiring paid sick leave to mandatory paid vacation and 401(k) retirement plan. By comparison, the list of measures aimed at improving the economy and helping Washington employers compete nationally and globally is not expected to be long. www.OpportunityWA.org 28 association of washington business As lawmakers debate how to balance the budget and how best to protect the environment, it’s important to remember that employers are already doing plenty to help in both regards. For example, employers already pay nearly 54 percent of all state and local taxes, ranking Washington ninth highest in the country. That’s one of the reasons why Rep. Reuven Carlyle, D -Seattle, said he spent time between legislative sessions exploring the idea of a capital gains tax aimed at high-income individuals. “If you accept that the core tax structure has a negative impact on business — which I do — where do you go?” Carlyle told AWB members in November. Wo r ke r s ’ c o m p e n s a t i o n a n d u n e m p l o y m e n t insurance also cost more in Washington than in most states, and the statewide minimum wage has been the highest in the country for years — well before the current minimum wage debate began adding to the state’s overall business costs.