Washington Business Summer 2020 | Page 40

business backgrounder | budget anticipate additional revenue loss All of this is irrelevant to a virus that does not respect political boundaries or revenue forecasts. From March to July, large portions of America shut down, opened up and then started to shut down again. Some states are still open as of this writing, while others have paused or rolled back their economies to fight the virus. It’s an uneven playing field at best, and millions are still out of work. Washington’s chief state economist, Steve Lerch, highlighted the ambiguity in a presentation to lawmakers in June. He quoted Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell who said a full recovery is unlikely until the public is confident the disease is contained. “I think the point of that quote is simply, there’s a lot of uncertainly about how consumers and how businesses will react to COVID-19 going forward,” Lerch said. Despite this uncertainty, AWB is committed to helping employers rebound and recover. “Now is the time to give employers and employees every possible tool to recover, not to add new burdens,” AWB President Kris Johnson wrote in a July newspaper column. “You can’t tax your way out of a recession. But you can grow and build your way out.” additional information Washington Research Council New report: Budgeting in the Great Recession, and Lessons for Today https://researchcouncil.org/ new-report-state-budgeting-in-the-great-recession-and-lessons-for-today/ Washington State Economic and Revenue Forecast, June 2020 https://erfc.wa.gov/sites/default/files/public/documents/publications/jun20pub.pdf 40 association of washington business