Vision 2030 Jan. 2011 | Page 56

The case for renewable energy Today, the energy industry is facing major challenges due to a confluence of macroeconomic factors. 1. Peak Oil According to most estimates, we have now reached peak oil, or if we have not, we are sure to within the next decade. The implications of this are massive as it means that the rate of oil production has now entered terminal decline. The gargantuan increase in the output of affordable oil since the turn of the century was the driving force behind the creation of the prosperity that accompanied it which lead to population growth and the modern way of life. Every indication shows that demand for oil is set to increase considerably in coming years. This fact combined with dwindling oil reserves globally, mean that the race to gain exploration and production rights to remaining oil fields is fierce, as evidenced by the multitude of geopolitical conflicts occurring in places where oilfields or pipelines are located. 2. Climate Change The urgent necessity to address climate change has coincided with the issue of peak oil to create a problem that requires globally coordinated action in creating viable alternatives to fossil fuels. 54 Cleantech Green Energy projects have therefore become major recipients of investments in recent years as the necessity to expedite their usage has become paramount. Solar, Wind, Hydro and Geothermal projects are now paving the way forward for humanity to avoid the harshest of the consequences that will result from the twin issues of peak oil and climate change. 3. The Financial Crisis Although in the short term, the financial crisis has resulted in a decrease in energy demands, ultimately, the demand is set to rise considerably due to an increase in living standards in developing countries, China in particular. The financial crisis has affected the energy industry because a large number of projects have run into financing difficulties due to the lack of liquidity in the global banking system. There are, therefore, a lot of companies that have viable business plans, but cannot proceed due to a lack of capital. This is particularly true of start-ups that would have relied on venture capital, especially in the US. As fossil fuels dwindle and their effect on the climate and their accessibility becomes prohibitive, viable Cleantech becomes increasingly necessary.