Upharmacia November 2017
MACROECONOMIC
INDICATORS
INDICATORS
2016 2017 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
GDP ($ bn ) 27.930 21.577 24.826 growth , y-o-y 9.16 % 22.2 % 17.9 %
Export ($ bn ) |
3.24 |
3.62 |
3.63 |
3.03 |
3.20 |
4.11 |
3.34 |
3.48 |
3.35 |
3.21 |
3.67 |
3.77 |
3.86 |
growth , y-o-y |
0 % |
16 % |
8 % |
48 % |
20 % |
37 % |
8 % |
21 % |
14 % |
10 % |
15 % |
19 % |
19 % |
Import ($ bn ) 3.54 3.81 4.13 3.10 3.67 4.37 3.73 3.83 3.96 4.01 4.25 4.32 4.58 growth , y-o-y 10 % 24 % 32 % 32 % 18 % 35 % 22 % 27 % 47 % 30 % 23 % 25 % 28 %
Industrial Prod . Sales ($ bn ) |
6.39 |
6.91 |
7.64 |
6.57 |
6.41 |
6.91 |
5.89 |
6.15 |
6.19 |
6.28 |
6.54 |
6.78 |
7.40 |
growth , y-o-y |
2 % |
17 % |
20 % |
33 % |
30 % |
28 % |
14 % |
14 % |
14 % |
12 % |
17 % |
21 % |
16 % |
Retail Turnover ($ bn ) 1.87 2.04 2.09 1.40 1.37 1.62 1.66 1.93 1.78 1.96 2.09 1.93 1.98 growth , y-o-y -8 % 14 % 4 % -12 % -8 % -2 % -6 % 21 % 3 % 4 % 9 % 10 % 6 % Unemployment Rate (%) 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 Average Salary ($) 208 210 247 221 230 250 248 259 272 283 278 257 277
CPI ( Consumer Prices Index ) 112.4 112.1 112.4 112.6 114.2 115.1 112.2 113.5 115.6 115.9 116.2 116.4 114.6
GfK Consumer Sentiment Index 51.6 47.4 57.1 53.7 56.2 55.5 54.9 58.0 59.4 58.5 58.2 59.0 62.6
OFFICIAL CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATE
UAH / USD 25.8 25.7 26.2 27.2 27.0 27.0 26.9 26.4 26.1 26.0 25.6 26.1 26.7 UAH / EUR 28.5 27.8 27.6 28.8 28.8 28.8 28.8 29.2 29.3 29.8 30.2 31.1 31.4
PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY INDICATORS
Export of Pharma Products $ M 18.40 14.75 23.95 8.10 13.31 22.01 12.22 14.21 19.75 14.15 13.06 16.7 14.5 growth , y-o-y 51 % 26 % 52 % -3 % 0 % 42 % -12 % 0 % 22 % 6 % -4 % -11 % -21 %
Import of Pharma Products $ M 137.3 142.6 169.1 102.4 123.4 150.6 116.8 145.7 156.8 150.5 149.8 146.6 146.3 growth , y-o-y -7 % 1 % 19 % -1 % -15 % 20 % -10 % 32 % 19 % 13 % 9 % 4 % 7 %
Retail Sales , values $ M 212.2 224.7 268.0 233.2 225.4 187.0 210.5 217.5 206.5 211.4 212.7 236.5 249.7 growth , y-o-y 3 % 14 % 26 % 17 % 28 % 0 % 18 % 22 % 18 % 21 % 18 % 24 % 18 %
Retail Sales , volumes units M 138.6 139.9 164.1 148.8 147.6 121.9 133.9 137.3 132.0 139.5 134.3 146.7 146.1 growth , y-o-y 6 % 8 % 20 % 11 % 16 % -9 % 7 % 11 % 8 % 14 % 6 % 8 % 5 %
Average Cost of a Pack $ 1.53 1.61 1.63 1.57 1.53 1.53 1.57 1.58 1.56 1.52 1.58 1.61 1.71 growth , y-o-y -3 % 6 % 5 % 5 % 10 % 9 % 10 % 10 % 10 % 6 % 10 % 15 % 12 %
CPI , Pharma Products 107.6 107.4 106.4 105.4 104.2 103.2 102.8 103.0 103.2 103.9 104.1 103.9 104.5
Local Companies Share % values 42.4 42.3 41.7 41.9 42.7 43.0 42.7 42.9 43.0 43.7 42.7 43.1 42.8 Local Companies Share % volumes 75.1 74.9 73.9 74.5 75.2 75.7 75.6 76.0 76.2 77.0 76.8 75.4 74.4
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