Analýzy a trendy
Analyses and trends
According to United Group
the year 2014 is full of opportunities
We have overcome five years
of the „Crisis“. Because of such
a long time it is appropriate to
write that word with the capital
letter C. What will happen next? Is
there any change waiting for us?
Is the crisis still outlasting or are
the things getting better?
Besides that, each of us perceives the crisis
differently. Somebody is touched more, somebody less. We can have a look at the objective
macroeconomic numbers. According to estimates
for the next year, the marked improvement is not
waiting for us. The GDP growth is estimated only
slightly above zero, the biggest buyers of Slovakia will be glad if they get to plus numbers at all.
Slovakia is probably somewhere at the top of the
European Union scale with the estimates of its
growth, but it will certainly not solve our biggest
problem, the unemployment. The growth will be
too low to start changing something positively
about the unemployment. And the change is probably not waiting for us so soon.
The European Union will also not move us
anywhere with its crisis solutions, rather the opposite. It is increasingly showing itself rather like
the bureaucratic machinery than the association
of states which should create an opposition to
large states and their economies. The economic
decisions are made by the group of officers, not
by the market. The subsidy system in the form of
EU funds and direct subsidies to agriculture only
nourishes the corruption and destroys the healthy
entrepreneurial environment. The chosen solutions from its side rather only subdue the crisis now
and instead of the single quick steps which would
start the growth of economics in short time, we
have chosen slow suffering and relying on some
miracle in the future. But we probably have to get
used to it. The politicians will change their behaviour only very hard and they will always prefer the
short time goals to the long term ones.
In general, in the Occident rather socialistic
models of economy management are starting
to predominate, the retreat from
the liberal economy is obvious. It is not only in
France, also the
United States are
socializing. The flexible possibilities for solving the
unemployment are limited to firms and we can
expect further gradual increase in the income tax
burden and consumption too.
How to be successful in such a situation? The
magic words are effectiveness and flexibility. Nowadays each customer thinks every purchase twice. The only chance how to sell him any product
is to fulfil all his expectations. The products should
be maximally in high-quality and cost minimum.
So the companies do not have any space for ineffective items at the moment. The pressure on the
employees from their work load and perfection is
enormous now.
Can we look forward to some positives? By
such a big pressure on effectiveness it is necessary
to start discovering new ideas, investments and
improvements. Is some invention which will turn
the worldwide economy to bigger growth waiting
for us next year? We hope yes. At least the shale
gas shows us that not everything what appeared
as the black hole and run to the doom in the past
(as reducing of the crude oil reserves) will really
end so.
Let’s have a look at branch which is close to
us from United Group as well as to Slovakia itself.
What will happen on the market with automobiles? Above the mentioned effectiveness is applied
also by the car producers. They try to cut down
the unexploited production capacity maximally. At
the same time it is not excluded at all, that any of
the car makers will again