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FOR ARTICLE REPRINTS CALL 800-988-0886 OR 617-783-7500, OR VISIT HBR.ORG at the time. In 2012 23.9 million students attended institutions of higher learning in China—some 4 million more than the enrollment at U.S. colleges and universities. Private colleges and universities now account for more than a quarter of all higher education institutions in China, and they are growing at a faster rate than public ones. Large companies are also getting involved. Alibaba’s Taobao unit, for instance, has established Taobao University, initially to train e-business owners, managers, and salespeople. In time it will offer business education to more than a million online students. China will soon turn out more PhDs each year than any other country in the world, as Chinese universities aim to be cradles of high-level, creative research and forces capable of transforming research and innovation into higher productivity. The Chinese government and many other sources are pumping enormous revenues into the leading institutions. Within 10 years, the research budgets of China’s elite universities will approach those of their U.S. and European peers. And in engineering and science, Chinese universities will be among the world’s leaders. Will Chinese universities set global standards in the 21st century? It is possible (even though none currently ranks in the global top 50) simply because of the resources they are likely to have. But the more important question is whether China has a good institutional framework for innovation. Our answer at present is no. The governance structures of China’s state-owned universities still leave too many decisions to too few, too self-important, people. Chinese universities, like state-owned enterprises, are plagued with party committees, and the university party secretary normally outranks the president. While a few extraordinary party secretaries are central to their universities’ success, as a rule this system of parallel governance limits rather than enhances the flow of ideas. The freedom to pursue ideas wherever they may lead is a precondition for innovation in universities. But by any comparative measure, faculty members in Chinese institutions have little or no role in governance. Indeed, it was not a good sign when China’s then–vice president (now president), Xi Jinping, visited China’s leading universities in June 2012 to call for increased party supervision of higher education. PERHAPS ABSOLUTE innovation, like absolute leadership and power, is overvalued. In industry, as in education, China can enjoy for some time what Joseph Schumpeter called the latecomer’s advantage: the ability to learn from and improve on the work of one’s immediate predecessors. Certainly, China has shown innovation through creative adaptation in recent decades, and it now has the capacity to do much more. But can China lead? Will the Chinese state have the wisdom to lighten up and the patience to allow the full emer- gence of what Schumpeter called the true spirit of entrepreneurship? On this we have our doubts. The problem, we think, is not the innovative or intellectual capacity of the Chinese people, which is boundless, but the political world in which their schools, universities, and businesses need to operate, which is very much bounded.  HBR Reprint R1403J Regina M. Abrami is a senior fellow at the Wharton School, the director of the Global Program at the Lauder Institute, and a senior lecturer in political science at the University of Pennsylvania. William C. Kirby is the Spangler Family Professor of Business Administration at Harvard Business School and the T.M. Chang Professor of China Studies at Harvard University. F. Warren McFarlan is the Baker Foundation Professor and the Albert H. Gordon Professor of Business Administration, Emeritus, at Harvard Business School. They are the authors of Can China Lead? Reaching the Limits of Power and Growth (Harvard Business Review Press, 2014). Words to the Wise Harvard Business Review 16425_HBR_1third_sq.indd 4 hbr.org The Revival of Smart 12/3/10 1:17 PM